1. Lig · Regular Season - 10
Antalyaspor 0–4 Kayserispor
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
AntalyasporTeam 1652KayserisporTeam 1728Match story
Antalyaspor · draw · KayserisporBefore kick-off: 37% · 28% · 34%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Daniel Moreno 2'
- Taulant Seferi 24', 53'
- Manadi Camara 37'
We gave Antalyaspor 37% to win: Kayserispor won.
- 2'Daniel Moreno 1936 +39Kayserispor:Daniel Moreno 1936 +39
- 24'Taulant Seferi 2028 +31Kayserispor:Taulant Seferi 2028 +31
- Mevlüt Şimşek 1497 0 for Güray Vural 1503 −1229'Antalyaspor:Mevlüt Şimşek 1497 0 for Güray Vural 1503 −12
- 37'Manadi Camara 1887 +32 assist Jemal Tabidze 1860 +77Kayserispor:Manadi Camara 1887 +32 assist Jemal Tabidze 1860 +77
- Abdullah Yigiter 1690 −11* for Fotios Pseftis 1761 −842'Antalyaspor:Abdullah Yigiter 1690 −11* for Fotios Pseftis 1761 −8
- Jesper Ceesay 1710 −4 for Soner Dikmen 1691 −845'Antalyaspor:Jesper Ceesay 1710 −4 for Soner Dikmen 1691 −8
- 45'Ensar Kemaloglu 1707 +53 for Manadi Camara 1887 +32Kayserispor:Ensar Kemaloglu 1707 +53 for Manadi Camara 1887 +32
- 45+5'Manadi Camara 1887 +32Kayserispor:Manadi Camara 1887 +32
- Ahmet Sağat 1492 −2 for Doğukan Sinik 1671 −153'Antalyaspor:Ahmet Sağat 1492 −2 for Doğukan Sinik 1671 −1
- 53'Taulant Seferi 2028 +31Kayserispor:Taulant Seferi 2028 +31
- 61'Florent Hasani 1840 +7 for Benhur Keser 1849 +16Kayserispor:Florent Hasani 1840 +7 for Benhur Keser 1849 +16
- 61'Murat Cem Akpinar 1653 +13 for Görkem Sağlam 1819 +18Kayserispor:Murat Cem Akpinar 1653 +13 for Görkem Sağlam 1819 +18
- 68'Oğulcan Çağlayan 1652 +8 for Daniel Moreno 1936 +39Kayserispor:Oğulcan Çağlayan 1652 +8 for Daniel Moreno 1936 +39
- 74'Marco Dulca 1618 +4* for Sinan Kurt 1939 +12Kayserispor:Marco Dulca 1618 +4* for Sinan Kurt 1939 +12
- Samet Yalcin 1533 −12* for Pedrinho 1763 −2174'Antalyaspor:Samet Yalcin 1533 −12* for Pedrinho 1763 −21
- Hasan Yakub İlçin 1461 0 for Sander van de Streek 1707 −1274'Antalyaspor:Hasan Yakub İlçin 1461 0 for Sander van de Streek 1707 −12
- 83'Ataol Taylan Karapınar 1221 −1* for Taulant Seferi 2028 +31Kayserispor:Ataol Taylan Karapınar 1221 −1* for Taulant Seferi 2028 +31
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 34%(Antalyaspor · draw · Kayserispor)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–4 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Antalyaspor €408K, Kayserispor €770K.
- 1. Lig: C. Şen was the highest-rated defender (2020).
- Kayserispor were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Antalyaspor
7th in 1. Lig · 15 pts from 9
- 10 OctWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1648
- 20 SepWVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1636
- 12 SepWÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1602
- 6 SepLSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1660
- 28 AugLSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1633
Kayserispor
1st in 1. Lig · 22 pts from 9
- 10 OctWManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1857
- 20 SepWMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1854
- 14 SepWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1797
- 7 SepWEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1768
- 2 SepDFatih Karagümrük Turkey 1 Lig1779
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 15 /9 | 56.3 | 1% | 20% | 1% | 6th |
| Kayserispor | 22 /9 | 72.9 | 54% | 94% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Antalyaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1785
Kayserispor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1897
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Antalyaspor: balanced profile (how Osman Özköylü plays) · Kayserispor: balanced profile (how Atila Gerin plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.