1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Antalyaspor vs Bursaspor
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
Antalyaspor host Bursaspor on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Antalyaspor 35%, draw 29%, Bursaspor 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Antalyaspor €393K, Bursaspor €1.1M.
- 1. Lig: K. Ịheanachọ is the highest-rated forward (1995).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Antalyaspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Antalyaspor 1696 · Bursaspor 1804
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Antalyaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1767
Bursaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1995
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Antalyaspor
7th in 1. Lig · 18 pts from 11
- 18 OctWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1659
- 14 OctLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1666
- 10 OctWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1648
- 20 SepWVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1636
- 12 SepWÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1602
Bursaspor
2nd in 1. Lig · 25 pts from 11
- 19 OctWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1791
- 15 OctWMuğlaspor Turkey 1 Lig1777
- 11 OctLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1770
- 19 SepWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1759
- 13 SepDEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1767
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 18 /11 | 57.2 | 1% | 20% | <1% | 6th |
| Bursaspor | 25 /11 | 72.8 | 32% | 94% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –