1. Lig · Regular Season - 12
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
Antalyaspor host Bodrum FK on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Antalyaspor 41%, draw 29%, Bodrum FK 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Antalyaspor €385K, Bodrum FK €549K.
- Home advantage makes Antalyaspor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- 1. Lig: Diogo Sousa is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1936).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Antalyaspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Antalyaspor 1699 · Bodrum FK 1720
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Antalyaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1767
Bodrum FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1850
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Antalyaspor
6th in 1. Lig · 18 pts from 11
- 18 OctWİstanbulspor Turkey 1 Lig1659
- 14 OctLKayserispor Turkey 1 Lig1666
- 10 OctWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1648
- 20 SepWVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1636
- 12 SepWÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1602
Bodrum FK
10th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1716
- 13 OctWSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1667
- 9 OctLKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1694
- 20 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1671
- 12 SepWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1608
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 18 /11 | 57.4 | <1% | 20% | <1% | 5th |
| Bodrum FK | 14 /11 | 55.9 | <1% | 16% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Antalyaspor: balanced profile (how Osman Özköylü plays) · Bodrum FK: direct (how Burhan Eser plays)