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1. Division · Regular Season - 5

Anorthosis 1–3 Pafos

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Antonis Papadopoulos, Larnaca

Anorthosis crestAnorthosisTeam 1560
1–3
Full time
HT 1–0
Pafos crestPafosTeam 1750

Match story

Anorthosis · draw · Pafos

Before kick-off: 23% · 27% · 50%

Live chances: Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 27%, Pafos 50%3' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 27%, Pafos 50%4' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 27%, Pafos 49%5' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 28%, Pafos 49%6' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 28%, Pafos 49%7' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 28%, Pafos 49%8' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 28%, Pafos 49%9' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 28%, Pafos 49%10' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 28%, Pafos 48%11' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 29%, Pafos 48%12' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 29%, Pafos 48%13' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 29%, Pafos 48%14' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 29%, Pafos 48%15' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 29%, Pafos 48%16' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 30%, Pafos 47%17' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 30%, Pafos 47%18' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 30%, Pafos 47%19' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 30%, Pafos 47%20' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 30%, Pafos 47%21' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 31%, Pafos 46%22' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 31%, Pafos 46%23' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 31%, Pafos 46%24' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 31%, Pafos 46%25' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 31%, Pafos 45%26' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 32%, Pafos 45%27' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 32%, Pafos 45%28' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 32%, Pafos 45%29' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 32%, Pafos 45%30' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 33%, Pafos 44%31' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 33%, Pafos 44%32' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 33%, Pafos 44%33' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 33%, Pafos 44%34' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 34%, Pafos 43%35' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 34%, Pafos 43%36' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 34%, Pafos 43%37' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 35%, Pafos 43%38' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 35%, Pafos 42%39' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 35%, Pafos 42%40' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 36%, Pafos 42%41' · 0–0 · Anorthosis 23%, draw 36%, Pafos 41%42' · 1–0 · Anorthosis 58%, draw 27%, Pafos 15%43' · 1–0 · Anorthosis 58%, draw 27%, Pafos 15%44' · 1–0 · Anorthosis 58%, draw 27%, Pafos 15%45' · 1–0 · Anorthosis 59%, draw 27%, Pafos 15%45+1' · 1–0 · Anorthosis 59%, draw 27%, Pafos 14%45+2' · 1–0 · Anorthosis 59%, draw 27%, Pafos 14%HT · 1–0 · Anorthosis 60%, draw 27%, Pafos 13%46' · 1–1 · Anorthosis 22%, draw 39%, Pafos 39%47' · 1–1 · Anorthosis 22%, draw 39%, Pafos 39%48' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 6%, draw 20%, Pafos 74%49' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 6%, draw 20%, Pafos 74%50' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 6%, draw 20%, Pafos 74%51' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 6%, draw 20%, Pafos 74%52' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 6%, draw 20%, Pafos 75%53' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 6%, draw 19%, Pafos 75%54' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 6%, draw 19%, Pafos 75%55' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 5%, draw 19%, Pafos 75%56' · 1–2 · Anorthosis 5%, draw 19%, Pafos 75%58' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 1%, draw 4%, Pafos 96%59' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 96%60' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 96%61' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 96%62' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 97%63' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 97%64' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 97%65' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 97%66' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 97%67' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 3%, Pafos 97%68' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 97%69' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 97%70' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 98%71' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 98%72' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 98%73' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 98%74' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 98%75' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 98%76' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 2%, Pafos 98%77' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 98%78' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%79' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%80' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%81' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%82' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%83' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%84' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%85' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%86' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 1%, Pafos 99%87' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 99%88' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100%89' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100%90' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100%90+1' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100%90+2' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Anorthosis 0%, draw 0%, Pafos 100%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Pafos 50% to win: they did.

  1. 35'Pafos:Ivan Šunjić 1847 +17
  2. 42'Anorthosis:Alessio Da Cruz 1673 −16*
  3. 46'Pafos:Yoram Zague 1867 +10*
  4. 48'Pafos:Leanderson da Silva Genésio 1711 +19*
  5. 56'Pafos:David Luiz 1539 +18*
  6. 57'Pafos:Leanderson da Silva Genésio 1711 +19*
  7. 63'Anorthosis:Rafael Lopes 1604 for Tamás Kiss 1623 −11*
  8. 63'Anorthosis:simranjit thandi 1517 for Stijn Middendorp 1508 −8*
  9. 71'Pafos:Gonçalo Rosa Gonçalves Pereira Rodrigues 1756 for Pêpê 1813 +12*
  10. 71'Pafos:Felipe Bruno – for Vlad Dragomir 1819 +21
  11. 74'Anorthosis:Andreas Chrysostomou 1537 −8*
  12. 76'Anorthosis:Babacar Dione 1462 for Andreas Chrysostomou 1537 −8*
  13. 80'Pafos:Alexandre Brito 1852 for Domingos Quina 1853 +11*
  14. 80'Pafos:Ken Sema 1660 for Gabriel Teixeira Aragao 1914 +8*
  15. 81'Anorthosis:simranjit thandi 1517
  16. 85'Pafos:João Correia 1759 for Yoram Zague 1867 +10*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

MC. Aboagye1469−11*
DN. Tošić1699−17*
DK. Sergiou1594−9*
GJ. Karlstrøm1726−18*
MK. Artymatas1511−5
MA. Chrysostomou1537−8*
MAlessio Da Cruz1673−16*
DGabriel Furtado1679−15*
MKiko1606−15*
FT. Kiss1623−11*
MStijn Middendorp1508−8*
CNestor El Maestro1679−14*
GR. Majecki2005+2*
FBiel1914+8*
DDavid Luiz1539+18*
MV. Dragomir1819+21
DN. Ioannou1773+14*
FLelê1711+19*
DS. Mmaee1844+10*
MPêpê Rodrigues1813+12*
MDomingos Quina1853+11*
MI. Šunjić1847+17
DYoram\t Zague1867+10*
CRicardo Sá Pinto1699+21*
Before kick-off: 23% · 27% · 50%(Anorthosis · draw · Pafos)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Anorthosis €388K, Pafos €1.3M.
  • 1. Division: R. Majecki was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2002).
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (1. Division): Anorthosis ranked #1 of 7, Pafos #7.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Anorthosis

12th in 1. Division · 3 pts from 4

  • 19 SepLNea Salamis 1619
  • 12 SepWApoel Nicosia 1595
  • 5 SepLApollon Limassol 1569
  • 30 AugLAEL 1577
  • 15 MayLOlympiakos 1543

Pafos

6th in 1. Division · 7 pts from 4

  • 18 SepLAEL 1774
  • 13 SepWAEK Larnaca 1757
  • 7 SepDOlympiakos 1783
  • 30 AugWKarmiotissa 1788
  • 27 AugDDinamo Tirana 1754

Season outlook

From the 1. Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Anorthosis3 /434.2<1%4%4%8th
Pafos7 /448.816%79%0%2nd
Anorthosis
Pafos

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

V. Dragomir
V. Dragomir

Pafos · -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1799

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Nestor El Maestro

Coach DNA: direct

Ricardo Manuel Andrade e Silva Sá Pinto

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Anorthosis: balanced profile (how Nestor El Maestro plays) · Pafos: balanced profile (how Ricardo Manuel Andrade e Silva Sá Pinto plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.