Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
Annecy 1–2 Nancy
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Parc des Sports d’Annecy, Avignon
AnnecyTeam 1636
NancyTeam 1651Match story
Annecy · draw · NancyBefore kick-off: 40% · 29% · 31%
Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 1% · 99%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Moïse Sahi 59'
- Ilyes Housni 41' (pen)
- Alexis Casadei 89' (og)
We gave Annecy 40% to win: Nancy won.
- 41'Ilyes Housni 1827 +32 (pen.)
Nancy:Ilyes Housni 1827 +32 (pen.) - 57'Nordine Kandil 1661 +21
Nancy:Nordine Kandil 1661 +21 - Moïse Sahi 1732 −11 assist Antoine Larose 1760 −1359'
Annecy:Moïse Sahi 1732 −11 assist Antoine Larose 1760 −13 - Kilyan Veniere 1406 0 for Thibault Rambaud 1685 −265'
Annecy:Kilyan Veniere 1406 0 for Thibault Rambaud 1685 −2 - Alexis Casadei 1498 0 for Paul Venot 1703 −165'
Annecy:Alexis Casadei 1498 0 for Paul Venot 1703 −1 - Souleymane Fofana for Clement Billemaz 1811 −1065'
Annecy:Souleymane Fofana for Clement Billemaz 1811 −10 - 68'Chafik El Hansar 1134 +17 for Jeremy Gelin 1624 +18
Nancy:Chafik El Hansar 1134 +17 for Jeremy Gelin 1624 +18 - 68'Pape Meissa Ba 1639 +5 for Zakaria Fdaouch 1747 +35
Nancy:Pape Meissa Ba 1639 +5 for Zakaria Fdaouch 1747 +35 - Pascal Mozie 1477 −8* for Moïse Sahi 1732 −1174'
Annecy:Pascal Mozie 1477 −8* for Moïse Sahi 1732 −11 - 77'Chafik El Hansar 1134 +17
Nancy:Chafik El Hansar 1134 +17 - 79'Ibrahim cisse 1313 +17 for Nordine Kandil 1661 +21
Nancy:Ibrahim cisse 1313 +17 for Nordine Kandil 1661 +21 - Adam Yahi 1457 0 for Antoine Larose 1760 −1386'
Annecy:Adam Yahi 1457 0 for Antoine Larose 1760 −13 - 89'Alexis Casadei 1498 0 (own goal)
Nancy:Alexis Casadei 1498 0 (own goal) - 90+3'Mamadou Fofana 1485 −7* for El Hadari Raheriniaina 1393 +47
Nancy:Mamadou Fofana 1485 −7* for El Hadari Raheriniaina 1393 +47
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 40% · 29% · 31%(Annecy · draw · Nancy)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 7%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Annecy €653K, Nancy €518K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Annecy
6th in Ligue 2 · 13 pts from 8
- 9 OctWDunkerque France Ligue 21676
- 18 SepLDijon France Ligue 21688
- 12 SepLGuingamp France Ligue 21747
- 4 SepWGrenoble France Ligue 21697
- 29 AugDMetz France Ligue 21754
Nancy
5th in Ligue 2 · 13 pts from 8
- 9 OctWGuingamp France Ligue 21621
- 18 SepWRodez France Ligue 21587
- 11 SepLReims France Ligue 21531
- 7 SepLNantes France Ligue 21644
- 28 AugWDunkerque France Ligue 21601
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annecy | 13 /8 | 54.0 | 3% | 42% | <1% | 4th |
| Nancy | 13 /8 | 47.5 | <1% | 11% | 2% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Annecy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1743

Nancy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.8 (Good) · Elo 1806
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Annecy: direct (how Laurent Guyot plays) · Nancy: direct (how Oswald Tanchot plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.