Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11
Annecy vs Montpellier
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Parc des Sports, Annecy
Annecy host Montpellier on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Annecy 39%, draw 29%, Montpellier 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Annecy €721K, Montpellier €951K.
- Home advantage makes Annecy the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Montpellier's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Annecy goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Annecy 1699 · Montpellier 1726
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Annecy · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1732
Montpellier · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1811
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Annecy
8th in Ligue 2 · 13 pts from 9
- 16 OctLNancy France Ligue 21698
- 9 OctWDunkerque France Ligue 21676
- 18 SepLDijon France Ligue 21688
- 12 SepLGuingamp France Ligue 21747
- 4 SepWGrenoble France Ligue 21697
Montpellier
5th in Ligue 2 · 15 pts from 8
- 9 OctWGrenoble France Ligue 21724
- 18 SepDReims France Ligue 21753
- 11 SepWPAU France Ligue 21729
- 5 SepLSaint Etienne France Ligue 21736
- 28 AugDBoulogne France Ligue 21720
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annecy | 13 /9 | 50.5 | 1% | 25% | 1% | 5th |
| Montpellier | 15 /8 | 56.0 | 4% | 57% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Annecy: direct (how Laurent Guyot plays) · Montpellier: balanced profile (how Zoumana Camara plays)