Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Anderlecht vs OH Leuven
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Anderlecht host OH Leuven on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Anderlecht 64%, draw 22%, OH Leuven 15%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Anderlecht €3.4M, OH Leuven €959K.
- OH Leuven are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Anderlecht goals first.
- 2–012%
- 1–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores42%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.7 pts
Team Elo: Anderlecht 1984 · OH Leuven 1705
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Anderlecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 2073
OH Leuven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1756
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Anderlecht
5th in Pro League · 20 pts from 11
- 8 NovDClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1995
- 5 NovWRed Bull Salzburg UEFA Europa League1981
- 31 OctWKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1943
- 25 OctLGent Belgium Pro League1950
- 22 OctWJagiellonia UEFA Europa League1913
OH Leuven
10th in Pro League · 12 pts from 11
- 7 NovWKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1691
- 1 NovWSt. Truiden Belgium Pro League1671
- 24 OctDLommel United Belgium Pro League1671
- 11 OctDUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1661
- 19 SepWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1635
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 20 /11 | 60.7 | <1% | 61% | 0% | 4th |
| OH Leuven | 12 /11 | 37.1 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Anderlecht: balanced profile (how Vítor Bruno plays) · OH Leuven: direct (how Timmy Simons plays)