Serie B · Regular Season - 35
America Mineiro vs Cuiaba
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC
America Mineiro host Cuiaba on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: America Mineiro 30%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: America Mineiro €242K, Cuiaba €560K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. America Mineiro goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: America Mineiro 1490 · Cuiaba 1693
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
America Mineiro · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1243
Cuiaba · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1772
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
America Mineiro
19th in Serie B · 20 pts from 34
- 17 OctWOperario-PR Brazil Serie B1481
- 12 OctLCriciuma Brazil Serie B1466
- 7 OctLFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B1442
- 3 OctLAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B1422
- 28 SepLJuventude Brazil Serie B1453
Cuiaba
11th in Serie B · 47 pts from 33
- 11 OctLAvai Brazil Serie B1717
- 7 OctDVila Nova Brazil Serie B1715
- 3 OctWPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1674
- 27 SepLCRB Brazil Serie B1697
- 22 SepWNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1701
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | 20 /34 | 24.4 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 19th |
| Cuiaba | 47 /33 | 54.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
America Mineiro: possession-based (how Moacir Vieira Araújo Júnior plays) · Cuiaba: balanced profile (how Eduardo Maciel de Barros plays)