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Primera A · Clausura - 14

America de Cali 1–2 Independiente Medellin

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 01:15 UTC · Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali

America de Cali crestAmerica de CaliTeam 1807
1–2
Full time
HT 1–1
Independiente Medellin crestIndependiente MedellinTeam 1654

Match story

America de Cali · draw · Independiente Medellin

Before kick-off: 59% · 25% · 17%

Live chances: America de Cali 0%, draw 0%, Independiente Medellin 100% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · America de Cali 59%, draw 25%, Independiente Medellin 17%2' · 0–0 · America de Cali 59%, draw 25%, Independiente Medellin 17%3' · 0–0 · America de Cali 58%, draw 25%, Independiente Medellin 17%4' · 0–0 · America de Cali 58%, draw 25%, Independiente Medellin 17%5' · 0–0 · America de Cali 58%, draw 25%, Independiente Medellin 17%6' · 0–0 · America de Cali 58%, draw 26%, Independiente Medellin 17%7' · 0–0 · America de Cali 58%, draw 26%, Independiente Medellin 17%8' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 13%, Independiente Medellin 5%9' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 13%, Independiente Medellin 5%10' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 13%, Independiente Medellin 5%11' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 13%, Independiente Medellin 5%12' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 13%, Independiente Medellin 5%13' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 13%, Independiente Medellin 5%14' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%15' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%16' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%17' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%18' · 1–0 · America de Cali 82%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%19' · 1–0 · America de Cali 81%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%20' · 1–0 · America de Cali 81%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%21' · 1–0 · America de Cali 81%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%22' · 1–0 · America de Cali 81%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%23' · 1–0 · America de Cali 81%, draw 14%, Independiente Medellin 5%24' · 1–1 · America de Cali 53%, draw 29%, Independiente Medellin 17%25' · 1–1 · America de Cali 53%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 17%26' · 1–1 · America de Cali 53%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 17%27' · 1–1 · America de Cali 52%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 18%28' · 1–1 · America de Cali 52%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 18%29' · 1–1 · America de Cali 52%, draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 18%30' · 1–1 · America de Cali 52%, draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 18%31' · 1–1 · America de Cali 51%, draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 18%32' · 1–1 · America de Cali 51%, draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 18%33' · 1–1 · America de Cali 51%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 18%34' · 1–1 · America de Cali 50%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 18%35' · 1–1 · America de Cali 50%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 18%36' · 1–1 · America de Cali 50%, draw 33%, Independiente Medellin 18%37' · 1–1 · America de Cali 49%, draw 33%, Independiente Medellin 18%38' · 1–1 · America de Cali 49%, draw 33%, Independiente Medellin 18%39' · 1–1 · America de Cali 49%, draw 34%, Independiente Medellin 18%40' · 1–1 · America de Cali 48%, draw 34%, Independiente Medellin 18%41' · 1–1 · America de Cali 48%, draw 34%, Independiente Medellin 18%42' · 1–1 · America de Cali 48%, draw 35%, Independiente Medellin 18%43' · 1–1 · America de Cali 47%, draw 35%, Independiente Medellin 18%44' · 1–1 · America de Cali 47%, draw 36%, Independiente Medellin 18%45' · 1–1 · America de Cali 46%, draw 36%, Independiente Medellin 18%45+1' · 1–1 · America de Cali 46%, draw 36%, Independiente Medellin 18%45+2' · 1–1 · America de Cali 46%, draw 37%, Independiente Medellin 18%45+3' · 1–1 · America de Cali 30%, draw 41%, Independiente Medellin 29%45+4' · 1–1 · America de Cali 30%, draw 41%, Independiente Medellin 29%HT · 1–1 · America de Cali 30%, draw 41%, Independiente Medellin 29%46' · 1–1 · America de Cali 29%, draw 41%, Independiente Medellin 29%47' · 1–1 · America de Cali 29%, draw 41%, Independiente Medellin 29%48' · 1–1 · America de Cali 29%, draw 42%, Independiente Medellin 29%49' · 1–1 · America de Cali 29%, draw 42%, Independiente Medellin 29%50' · 1–1 · America de Cali 28%, draw 43%, Independiente Medellin 29%51' · 1–1 · America de Cali 28%, draw 44%, Independiente Medellin 28%52' · 1–1 · America de Cali 28%, draw 44%, Independiente Medellin 28%53' · 1–1 · America de Cali 27%, draw 45%, Independiente Medellin 28%54' · 1–1 · America de Cali 27%, draw 45%, Independiente Medellin 28%55' · 1–1 · America de Cali 27%, draw 46%, Independiente Medellin 27%56' · 1–1 · America de Cali 26%, draw 47%, Independiente Medellin 27%57' · 1–1 · America de Cali 26%, draw 47%, Independiente Medellin 27%58' · 1–1 · America de Cali 26%, draw 48%, Independiente Medellin 26%59' · 1–1 · America de Cali 25%, draw 49%, Independiente Medellin 26%60' · 1–1 · America de Cali 25%, draw 49%, Independiente Medellin 26%61' · 1–1 · America de Cali 24%, draw 50%, Independiente Medellin 25%62' · 1–1 · America de Cali 24%, draw 51%, Independiente Medellin 25%63' · 1–1 · America de Cali 24%, draw 52%, Independiente Medellin 25%64' · 1–1 · America de Cali 23%, draw 52%, Independiente Medellin 24%65' · 1–1 · America de Cali 23%, draw 53%, Independiente Medellin 24%66' · 1–1 · America de Cali 22%, draw 54%, Independiente Medellin 24%67' · 1–1 · America de Cali 22%, draw 55%, Independiente Medellin 23%68' · 1–1 · America de Cali 21%, draw 56%, Independiente Medellin 23%69' · 1–1 · America de Cali 21%, draw 56%, Independiente Medellin 23%70' · 1–1 · America de Cali 21%, draw 57%, Independiente Medellin 22%71' · 1–1 · America de Cali 20%, draw 58%, Independiente Medellin 22%72' · 1–1 · America de Cali 20%, draw 59%, Independiente Medellin 21%73' · 1–1 · America de Cali 19%, draw 60%, Independiente Medellin 21%74' · 1–1 · America de Cali 19%, draw 61%, Independiente Medellin 20%75' · 1–1 · America de Cali 18%, draw 62%, Independiente Medellin 20%76' · 1–1 · America de Cali 17%, draw 63%, Independiente Medellin 19%77' · 1–1 · America de Cali 17%, draw 65%, Independiente Medellin 19%78' · 1–1 · America de Cali 16%, draw 66%, Independiente Medellin 18%79' · 1–1 · America de Cali 16%, draw 67%, Independiente Medellin 17%80' · 1–1 · America de Cali 15%, draw 68%, Independiente Medellin 17%81' · 1–1 · America de Cali 14%, draw 70%, Independiente Medellin 16%82' · 1–1 · America de Cali 14%, draw 71%, Independiente Medellin 15%83' · 1–1 · America de Cali 13%, draw 72%, Independiente Medellin 15%84' · 1–1 · America de Cali 12%, draw 74%, Independiente Medellin 14%85' · 1–2 · America de Cali 1%, draw 12%, Independiente Medellin 87%86' · 1–2 · America de Cali 1%, draw 11%, Independiente Medellin 88%87' · 1–2 · America de Cali 1%, draw 11%, Independiente Medellin 88%88' · 1–2 · America de Cali 1%, draw 10%, Independiente Medellin 89%89' · 1–2 · America de Cali 1%, draw 9%, Independiente Medellin 91%90' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 8%, Independiente Medellin 92%90+1' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 7%, Independiente Medellin 93%90+2' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 6%, Independiente Medellin 94%90+3' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 5%, Independiente Medellin 95%90+4' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 3%, Independiente Medellin 97%90+5' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 2%, Independiente Medellin 98%90+6' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 1%, Independiente Medellin 99%90+7' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 0%, Independiente Medellin 100%90+8' · 1–2 · America de Cali 0%, draw 0%, Independiente Medellin 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave America de Cali 59% to win: Independiente Medellin won.

  1. 7'America de Cali:Luis Quiñones 1695 −13 assist Yeison Guzmán 1802 −37
  2. 24'Independiente Medellin:Luis Escorcia 1611 +93 assist Daniel Cataño 1670 +16*
  3. 37'America de Cali:Yani Quintero 1599 0 for Mateo Castillo 1804 −5
  4. 42'America de Cali:Dany Rosero 1710 −6
  5. 45'America de Cali:Marlon Torres 1769 −15* for Jhon Palacios 1766 −4
  6. 45+2'America de Cali:Dany Rosero 1710 −6
  7. 52'America de Cali:Rafael Carrascal 1766 −24*
  8. 64'Independiente Medellin:Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz 1708 +17
  9. 66'Independiente Medellin:John Montano 1734 +5 for Yony González 1696 +13
  10. 70'Independiente Medellin:Keiner David Klinger Vasquez 1502 +9 for Daniel Cataño 1670 +16*
  11. 70'Independiente Medellin:Baldomero Perlaza 1611 0 for Halam Stiven Loboa Diaz 1708 +17
  12. 72'America de Cali:Jan Lucumi 1750 −9* for Tomás Ángel 1820 −12
  13. 80'Independiente Medellin:John Montano 1734 +5
  14. 81'America de Cali:Daniel Valencia 1612 −2 for Yeison Guzmán 1802 −37
  15. 84'Independiente Medellin:Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez 1664 +77 assist Frank Fabra 1704 +61
  16. 85'Independiente Medellin:Kevin Andres Mantilla Camargo 1786 −7* for Luis Escorcia 1611 +93
  17. 85'Independiente Medellin:Enzo Miguel·Larrosa Martinez 1490 −5* for Carlos Alberto Lucumi Gonzalez 1664 +77
  18. 87'Independiente Medellin:Baldomero Perlaza 1611 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GJean1826−16
DM. Castillo1804−5
DC. Tovar1835−18
DD. Rosero1710−6
DM. Mina1700−10*
MR. Carrascal1766−24*
MJ. Escobar1817−14
ML. Quiñones1695−13
MY. Guzmán1802−37
MT. Palacios1766−4
FT. Ángel1820−12
CD. González1758−16
GE. Chaux1776+28*
DH. Palacios1734+19
DL. Escorcia1611+93
DJ. Varela1731+11*
DF. Fabra1704+61
ME. Mena1735+18
MH. Loboa1708+17
MD. Moreno1707+44
MY. González1696+13
FD. Cataño1670+16*
FC. Lucumi1664+77
CL. Perea1719+42
Before kick-off: 59% · 25% · 17%(America de Cali · draw · Independiente Medellin)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 1–2 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: America de Cali €650K, Independiente Medellin €337K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

America de Cali

4th in Primera A · 33 pts from 19

  • 5 OctWLlaneros 1769
  • 24 SepWÁguilas Doradas 1770
  • 20 SepDDeportes Tolima 1739
  • 15 SepLDeportivo Pasto 1747
  • 3 SepWAlianza Valledupar 1795

Independiente Medellin

11th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19

  • 6 OctLSanta Fe 1668
  • 30 SepDMillonarios 1685
  • 27 SepLJunior 1720
  • 22 SepWJaguares 1722
  • 18 SepDBucaramanga 1747

Season outlook

From the Primera A simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
America de Cali33 /1945.22%81%0%2nd
Independiente Medellin26 /1935.40%2%0%12th
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Primera A

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Escobar
J. Escobar

America de Cali · +6.1 (Good) · Elo 1831

D. Moreno
D. Moreno

Independiente Medellin · +1.7 (Average) · Elo 1663

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

David González Giraldo

Coach DNA: possession-based

Luis Amaranto Perea Mosquera

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

America de Cali: balanced profile (how David González Giraldo plays) · Independiente Medellin: possession-based (how Luis Amaranto Perea Mosquera plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.