Primera A · Clausura - 5
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 23:15 UTC · Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
America de Cali host Fortaleza FC on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: America de Cali 67%, draw 20%, Fortaleza FC 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: America de Cali €611K, Fortaleza FC €235K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of the Primera A Clausura - 5: 244 points.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Primera A average of 26% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. America de Cali goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: America de Cali 1755 · Fortaleza FC 1511
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
America de Cali · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1765
Fortaleza FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1704
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
America de Cali
4th in Primera A · 33 pts from 19
- 18 OctDBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1733
- 12 OctLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1789
- 5 OctWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1769
- 24 SepWÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1770
- 20 SepDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1739
Fortaleza FC
15th in Primera A · 22 pts from 19
- 9 OctDMillonarios Colombia Primera A1485
- 4 OctDDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1460
- 27 SepDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1466
- 20 SepLJunior Colombia Primera A1468
- 11 SepDJaguares Colombia Primera A1485
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 33 /19 | 41.9 | <1% | 73% | 0% | 3rd |
| Fortaleza FC | 22 /19 | 27.2 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
America de Cali: balanced profile (how David González Giraldo plays) · Fortaleza FC: balanced profile (how Diego Arias plays)