Primera A · Clausura - 16
America de Cali vs Cucuta
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 23:05 UTC
America de Cali host Cucuta on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: America de Cali 66%, draw 20%, Cucuta 13%.
- Average value of the expected XI: America de Cali €611K, Cucuta €238K.
- Draw chance 20%, below the Primera A average of 26% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. America de Cali goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: America de Cali 1755 · Cucuta 1520
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
America de Cali · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1765
Cucuta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1601
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
America de Cali
4th in Primera A · 33 pts from 19
- 18 OctDBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1733
- 12 OctLIndependiente Medellin Colombia Primera A1789
- 5 OctWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1769
- 24 SepWÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1770
- 20 SepDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1739
Cucuta
19th in Primera A · 16 pts from 19
- 11 OctWChico Colombia Primera A1481
- 4 OctWDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1477
- 26 SepWLlaneros Colombia Primera A1457
- 19 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1491
- 14 SepLMillonarios Colombia Primera A1470
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 33 /19 | 41.9 | <1% | 73% | 0% | 3rd |
| Cucuta | 16 /19 | 22.9 | 0% | 0% | 48% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
America de Cali: balanced profile (how David González Giraldo plays) · Cucuta: balanced profile (how Nicolás Hernán Chiesa plays)