Süper Lig · Regular Season - 12
Amed vs Rizespor
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Diyarbakir Stadium
Amed host Rizespor on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Amed 48%, draw 27%, Rizespor 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Amed €1.8M, Rizespor €1.5M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Süper Lig): Amed rank #16 of 18, Rizespor #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Amed goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 2–07%
- 2–27%
- 1–26%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Amed 1926 · Rizespor 1864
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Amed · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1997
Rizespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1925
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Amed
3rd in Süper Lig · 23 pts from 11
- 7 NovLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1979
- 1 NovWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1960
- 24 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1917
- 17 OctWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1916
- 10 OctDGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1908
Rizespor
11th in Süper Lig · 14 pts from 11
- 8 NovWErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1826
- 31 OctDKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1786
- 26 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1830
- 16 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1870
- 10 OctLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1914
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed | 23 /11 | 54.1 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 5th |
| Rizespor | 14 /11 | 41.4 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Amed: possession-based · creative (how Besnik Hasi plays) · Rizespor: balanced profile (how Recep Uçar plays)