1. SNL · Regular Season - 12
Aluminij 0–1 Olimpija Ljubljana
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
AluminijTeam 1376Olimpija LjubljanaTeam 1557- D. Kojic 68' (pen)
We gave Olimpija Ljubljana 44% to win: they did.
- B. Osuji –13'Aluminij:B. Osuji –
- 13'I. Tuci –Olimpija Ljubljana:I. Tuci –
- M. Boben –43'Aluminij:M. Boben –
- D. Zajsek – for A. Bekavac –46'Aluminij:D. Zajsek – for A. Bekavac –
- I. Svrznjak – for H. Sorensen –46'Aluminij:I. Svrznjak – for H. Sorensen –
- 50'J. Urbancic –Olimpija Ljubljana:J. Urbancic –
- V. Tezak –59'Aluminij:V. Tezak –
- 61'M. Cuni –Olimpija Ljubljana:M. Cuni –
- 68'D. Kojic – (pen.)Olimpija Ljubljana:D. Kojic – (pen.)
- 72'L. Perea – for D. Mitrovski –Olimpija Ljubljana:L. Perea – for D. Mitrovski –
- M. Bajraj – for R. Ramsak –72'Aluminij:M. Bajraj – for R. Ramsak –
- M. Mladenovic – for P. Petrisko –72'Aluminij:M. Mladenovic – for P. Petrisko –
- D. Simunic –74'Aluminij:D. Simunic –
- A. Bloudek – for T. Jagic –81'Aluminij:A. Bloudek – for T. Jagic –
- 90+2'L. Perea –Olimpija Ljubljana:L. Perea –
Before kick-off (provisional): 28% · 28% · 44%(Aluminij · draw · Olimpija Ljubljana)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Aluminij €212K, Olimpija Ljubljana €408K.
- U. Korun, S. Evangelou, I. Svržnjak, B. Feta and O. Kočar (Aluminij) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aluminij
7th in 1. SNL · 13 pts from 11
- 30 JulLDinamo Tirana UEFA Conference League1420
- 23 JulDDinamo Tirana UEFA Conference League1405
- 16 JulLSheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League1373
- 9 JulDSheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League1375
- 3 AprLRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1408
Olimpija Ljubljana
5th in 1. SNL · 15 pts from 11
- 29 AugDRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1575
- 25 JulLMura Slovenia 1 SNL1564
- 14 MarWRadomlje Slovenia 1 SNL1622
- 8 MarDMaribor Slovenia 1 SNL1633
- 28 FebWPrimorje Slovenia 1 SNL1600
Season outlook
From the 1. SNL simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminij | 13 /11 | 38.1 | <1% | 8% | 56% | 7th |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 15 /11 | 48.8 | 4% | 68% | 6% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 9th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Olimpija Ljubljana · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1596
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –