Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 33
Almirante Brown 1–1 San Miguel
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC · Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova
Almirante BrownTeam 1448San MiguelTeam 1378- L. Pascual 31'
- T. Diaz 83'
We gave Almirante Brown 49% to win: it ended in a draw.
- M. Zanotti –11'Almirante Brown:M. Zanotti –
- L. Pascual – assist T. Villoldo –31'Almirante Brown:L. Pascual – assist T. Villoldo –
- 32'F. Aguirre – for D. Renteria –San Miguel:F. Aguirre – for D. Renteria –
- 35'F. Aguirre –San Miguel:F. Aguirre –
- 46'T. Jerez – for F. Almeida –San Miguel:T. Jerez – for F. Almeida –
- 46'T. Diaz – for F. Cardozo –San Miguel:T. Diaz – for F. Cardozo –
- E. Martinez – for M. Zanotti –57'Almirante Brown:E. Martinez – for M. Zanotti –
- 70'G. Fernandez – for E. De la Cruz –San Miguel:G. Fernandez – for E. De la Cruz –
- T. Almada – for L. Pascual –75'Almirante Brown:T. Almada – for L. Pascual –
- G. Flores – for M. Abreliano –75'Almirante Brown:G. Flores – for M. Abreliano –
- J. Velazquez – for S. Gauna –80'Almirante Brown:J. Velazquez – for S. Gauna –
- 80'A. Cruz – for K. Ceceri –San Miguel:A. Cruz – for K. Ceceri –
- 83'T. Diaz – assist M. Serra –San Miguel:T. Diaz – assist M. Serra –
- G. Alegre Rojas –85'Almirante Brown:G. Alegre Rojas –
- 90+2'A. Cruz –San Miguel:A. Cruz –
- 90+4'San Miguel:
Before kick-off (provisional): 49% · 27% · 24%(Almirante Brown · draw · San Miguel)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the expected XI: Almirante Brown €130K, San Miguel €98K.
- G. Alegre Rojas and U. Abreliano (Almirante Brown) had not played for over 90 days.
- M. Reynoso, K. Ceceri, M. Serra, D. Juárez and A. Cruz (San Miguel) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Almirante Brown
6th in Primera Nacional · 46 pts from 32
- 26 SepLAcassuso Argentine Primera Nacional1415
- 11 JulDAll Boys Argentine Primera Nacional1413
- 4 JulWLos Andes Argentine Primera Nacional1437
- 7 JunLDeportivo Moron Argentine Primera Nacional1472
- 30 MayDColon Santa Fe Argentine Primera Nacional1475
San Miguel
17th in Primera Nacional · 31 pts from 32
- 26 SepLCA Estudiantes Argentine Primera Nacional1402
- 11 JulLFerro Carril Oeste Argentine Primera Nacional1428
- 5 JulDCentral Norte Argentine Primera Nacional1380
- 6 JunDDefensores De Belgrano Argentine Primera Nacional1379
- 31 MayDCiudad de Bolívar Argentine Primera Nacional1420
Season outlook
From the Primera Nacional simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almirante Brown | 46 /32 | 50.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15th |
| San Miguel | 31 /32 | 35.8 | 0% | 0% | 54% | 34th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 36th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almirante Brown · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1527
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct