Segunda División · Regular Season - 11
Almeria vs Oviedo
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Almeria host Oviedo on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Almeria 49%, draw 27%, Oviedo 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Almeria €1.5M, Oviedo €1.8M.
- Segunda División: Carlos Domínguez is the highest-rated defender (2141).
- Almeria's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
- Almeria have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Almeria goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Almeria 1883 · Oviedo 1829
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almeria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1886
Oviedo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1906
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Almeria
1st in Segunda División · 24 pts from 10
- 17 OctWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1875
- 11 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1849
- 3 OctWBurgos Spain Segunda Division1848
- 27 SepWMallorca Spain Segunda Division1808
- 20 SepWCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1821
Oviedo
9th in Segunda División · 17 pts from 10
- 18 OctWAD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda Division1856
- 12 OctWEibar Spain Segunda Division1813
- 2 OctLEldense Spain Segunda Division1839
- 27 SepWSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1822
- 20 SepLSabadell Spain Segunda Division1796
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 24 /10 | 75.8 | 24% | 72% | 0% | 1st |
| Oviedo | 17 /10 | 65.6 | 2% | 19% | <1% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Almeria: creative · shot-heavy (how Javier Garcia Pimienta Francisco plays) · Oviedo: balanced profile (how Julián Calero Fernández plays)