Segunda División · Regular Season - 14
Almeria vs FC Andorra
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Almeria host FC Andorra on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Almeria 56%, draw 25%, FC Andorra 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Almeria €1.3M, FC Andorra €747K.
- Almeria's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
- Almeria are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Almeria goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Almeria 1881 · FC Andorra 1748
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almeria · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1886
FC Andorra · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.8 (Elite) · Elo 1935
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Almeria
2nd in Segunda División · 25 pts from 11
- 24 OctDOviedo Spain Segunda Division1877
- 17 OctWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1875
- 11 OctWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1849
- 3 OctWBurgos Spain Segunda Division1848
- 27 SepWMallorca Spain Segunda Division1808
FC Andorra
19th in Segunda División · 10 pts from 11
- 26 OctLBurgos Spain Segunda Division1717
- 18 OctLGirona Spain Segunda Division1738
- 11 OctWCastellón Spain Segunda Division1709
- 26 SepWGranada CF Spain Segunda Division1597
- 19 SepLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1752
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria | 25 /11 | 74.7 | 20% | 67% | 0% | 1st |
| FC Andorra | 10 /11 | 51.1 | 0% | <1% | 10% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Almeria: creative · shot-heavy (how Javier Garcia Pimienta Francisco plays) · FC Andorra: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Carles Manso plays)