Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
Almere City FC vs Roda
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Almere City FC host Roda on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Almere City FC 52%, draw 26%, Roda 22%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Almere City FC €568K, Roda €349K.
- Eerste Divisie: E. Poku is the highest-rated forward (1829).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Almere City FC goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 1–26%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Almere City FC 1760 · Roda 1621
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almere City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1816
Roda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1716
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Almere City FC
2nd in Eerste Divisie · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1772
- 9 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1770
- 3 OctWFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1761
- 25 SepLDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1705
- 18 SepWHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1729
Roda
7th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 10
- 9 OctDJong PSV U21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie1618
- 4 OctLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1614
- 26 SepWWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1629
- 18 SepDJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1674
- 12 SepWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1640
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC | 22 /11 | 68.6 | 32% | 85% | 0% | 1st |
| Roda | 16 /10 | 54.5 | 1% | 13% | 2% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct · high-pressing
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Almere City FC: direct (how Anoush Dastgir plays) · Roda: balanced profile (how Rob Penders plays)