Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16
Almere City FC vs NAC Breda
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Almere City FC host NAC Breda on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Almere City FC 50%, draw 27%, NAC Breda 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Almere City FC €615K, NAC Breda €650K.
- Eerste Divisie: F. Druijf is the highest-rated forward (1842).
- NAC Breda are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Almere City FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Almere City FC 1778 · NAC Breda 1669
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almere City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1796
NAC Breda · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1730
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Almere City FC
3rd in Eerste Divisie · 25 pts from 13
- 30 OctWWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1780
- 27 OctWTelstar Netherlands KNVB Beker1755
- 23 OctLRoda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1769
- 17 OctLEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1769
- 9 OctWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1769
NAC Breda
6th in Eerste Divisie · 24 pts from 13
- 23 OctDHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1723
- 16 OctWHelmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie1719
- 9 OctWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1680
- 3 OctDVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1712
- 26 SepWFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1691
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC | 25 /13 | 68.3 | 28% | 80% | 0% | 1st |
| NAC Breda | 24 /13 | 60.0 | 3% | 30% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Almere City FC: direct (how Anoush Dastgir plays) · NAC Breda: balanced profile (how Rick Kruys plays)