Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10
Almere City FC 3–0 FC Eindhoven
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Yanmar Stadion, Almere
Almere City FCTeam 1734FC EindhovenTeam 1431We gave Almere City FC 67% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 67% · 20% · 13%(Almere City FC · draw · FC Eindhoven)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 3–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Almere City FC €593K, FC Eindhoven €254K.
- Eerste Divisie: F. Druijf was the highest-rated forward (1847).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Almere City FC
2nd in Eerste Divisie · 19 pts from 9
- 3 OctWFC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie1761
- 25 SepLDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1705
- 18 SepWHeracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie1729
- 11 SepWMVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie1711
- 4 SepLJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1747
FC Eindhoven
13th in Eerste Divisie · 11 pts from 9
- 3 OctDDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1512
- 26 SepLNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1505
- 18 SepWEmmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie1461
- 11 SepWDordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1446
- 7 SepDJong Utrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie1457
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC | 19 /9 | 68.3 | 48% | 87% | 0% | 1st |
| FC Eindhoven | 11 /9 | 43.8 | 0% | 1% | 36% | 19th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Almere City FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1847
FC Eindhoven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1462
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Almere City FC: direct (how Anoush Dastgir plays) · FC Eindhoven: balanced profile (how Jan Poortvliet plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.