Primera A · Clausura - 16
Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 21:05 UTC · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar host Internacional de Bogota on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Alianza Valledupar 41%, draw 29%, Internacional de Bogota 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Alianza Valledupar €220K, Internacional de Bogota €304K.
- Home advantage makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite here: it adds 12 points to their win chance.
- Alianza Valledupar's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Alianza Valledupar goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Alianza Valledupar 1507 · Internacional de Bogota 1584
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Alianza Valledupar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1516
Internacional de Bogota · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1697
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Alianza Valledupar
17th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 9 OctDÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1505
- 3 OctLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1524
- 27 SepWJaguares Colombia Primera A1502
- 19 SepLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1514
- 16 SepWChico Colombia Primera A1474
Internacional de Bogota
8th in Primera A · 28 pts from 19
- 10 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1559
- 4 OctDOnce Caldas Colombia Primera A1576
- 26 SepDDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1590
- 20 SepLBucaramanga Colombia Primera A1598
- 17 SepLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1589
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Valledupar | 17 /19 | 22.9 | 0% | 0% | 53% | 18th |
| Internacional de Bogota | 28 /19 | 35.1 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Alianza Valledupar: balanced profile (how Camilo Andrés Ayala Quintero plays) · Internacional de Bogota: direct (how Ricardo Alfredo Valiño plays)