Primera A · Clausura - 14
Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Águilas Doradas
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 23:00 UTC · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
Alianza ValleduparTeam 1506Águilas DoradasTeam 1609- Misael Martinez 90'
- Jesus Figueroa 90+9' (pen)
- Iván Rojas 21'
- Anthony Vásquez 45+3'
We gave Alianza Valledupar 39% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Cristian Vergara4'Alianza Valledupar:Cristian Vergara
- 21'Iván RojasÁguilas Doradas:Iván Rojas
- 33'Fabián Suárez offÁguilas Doradas:Fabián Suárez off
- 36'John OntanedaÁguilas Doradas:John Ontaneda
- Deinner Quiñones off45'Alianza Valledupar:Deinner Quiñones off
- 45+3'Anthony VásquezÁguilas Doradas:Anthony Vásquez
- Charly Villegas González off57'Alianza Valledupar:Charly Villegas González off
- 58'Eduar Arízalas offÁguilas Doradas:Eduar Arízalas off
- Jair Castillo62'Alianza Valledupar:Jair Castillo
- 63'Andres RicaurteÁguilas Doradas:Andres Ricaurte
- Ever Meza72'Alianza Valledupar:Ever Meza
- Yeiner Londoño75'Alianza Valledupar:Yeiner Londoño
- 77'Iván Rojas offÁguilas Doradas:Iván Rojas off
- 78'Ricardo Marquez offÁguilas Doradas:Ricardo Marquez off
- 78'Andres Ricaurte offÁguilas Doradas:Andres Ricaurte off
- 79'Frank LozanoÁguilas Doradas:Frank Lozano
- Misael Martinez80'Alianza Valledupar:Misael Martinez
- Jair Castillo off81'Alianza Valledupar:Jair Castillo off
- Jesús Muñoz off81'Alianza Valledupar:Jesús Muñoz off
- Juan Viveros82'Alianza Valledupar:Juan Viveros
- Juan Viveros off84'Alianza Valledupar:Juan Viveros off
- Misael Martinez90'Alianza Valledupar:Misael Martinez
- José Flabio Torres Díaz90+2'Alianza Valledupar:José Flabio Torres Díaz
- Josy Pérez90+4'Alianza Valledupar:Josy Pérez
- Misael Martinez90+4'Alianza Valledupar:Misael Martinez
- Jesus Figueroa (pen.)90+9'Alianza Valledupar:Jesus Figueroa (pen.)
Before kick-off (provisional): 39% · 29% · 32%(Alianza Valledupar · draw · Águilas Doradas)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Alianza Valledupar €216K, Águilas Doradas €280K.
- Home advantage made Alianza Valledupar the favourite: it added 12 points to their win chance.
- Alianza Valledupar's expected eleven was out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Alianza Valledupar
17th in Primera A · 17 pts from 19
- 3 OctLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1524
- 27 SepWJaguares Colombia Primera A1502
- 19 SepLSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1514
- 16 SepWChico Colombia Primera A1474
- 13 SepWJunior Colombia Primera A1447
Águilas Doradas
12th in Primera A · 26 pts from 19
- 3 OctWJaguares Colombia Primera A1611
- 28 SepLDeportivo Cali Colombia Primera A1590
- 24 SepLAmerica de Cali Colombia Primera A1601
- 18 SepDDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1606
- 13 SepLAtletico Nacional Colombia Primera A1616
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Valledupar | 17 /19 | 24.6 | 0% | 0% | 51% | 18th |
| Águilas Doradas | 26 /19 | 35.9 | 0% | 2% | <1% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Alianza Valledupar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1529
Águilas Doradas · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1696
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Alianza Valledupar: balanced profile (how Camilo Andrés Ayala Quintero plays) · Águilas Doradas: balanced profile (how Flavio Horacio Robatto plays)