3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
Alemannia Aachen vs Waldhof Mannheim
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · New Tivoli, Aachen
Alemannia Aachen host Waldhof Mannheim on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Alemannia Aachen 48%, draw 27%, Waldhof Mannheim 25%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Alemannia Aachen €404K, Waldhof Mannheim €329K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Alemannia Aachen goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–07%
- 2–07%
- 2–27%
- 1–26%
- Other scores51%
Team Elo: Alemannia Aachen 1660 · Waldhof Mannheim 1607
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Alemannia Aachen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Good) · Elo 1706
Waldhof Mannheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1677
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Alemannia Aachen
7th in 3. Liga · 20 pts from 13
- 7 NovLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1650
- 1 NovWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1685
- 24 OctWStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1658
- 17 OctWHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1625
- 14 OctLSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1648
Waldhof Mannheim
8th in 3. Liga · 19 pts from 13
- 7 NovWFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1585
- 1 NovLFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1589
- 25 OctWHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1604
- 17 OctLWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1569
- 14 OctLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1589
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 20 /13 | 59.8 | 3% | 26% | 0% | 6th |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 19 /13 | 54.6 | <1% | 8% | <1% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Alemannia Aachen: direct (how Mersad Selimbegović plays) · Waldhof Mannheim: balanced profile (how Rui Mota plays)