3. Liga · Regular Season - 10
Alemannia Aachen 2–0 Hansa Rostock
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Tivoli, Aachen
Alemannia AachenTeam 1592
Hansa RostockTeam 1585Match story
Alemannia Aachen · draw · Hansa RostockBefore kick-off: 45% · 27% · 28%
Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Louis Köster 8'
- Lukas Scepanik 26'
We gave Alemannia Aachen 45% to win: they did.
- Louis Köster 1499 +93 assist Mika Schroers 1753 +188'
Alemannia Aachen:Louis Köster 1499 +93 assist Mika Schroers 1753 +18 - Lukas Scepanik 1626 +6326'
Alemannia Aachen:Lukas Scepanik 1626 +63 - 27'David Kopacz 1696 −8
Hansa Rostock:David Kopacz 1696 −8 - Dylan Leonard 1629 +2928'
Alemannia Aachen:Dylan Leonard 1629 +29 - 45'Maximilian Krauss 1642 −4 for Leon Dajaku 1599 0
Hansa Rostock:Maximilian Krauss 1642 −4 for Leon Dajaku 1599 0 - Petros Bagalianis 1737 +1949'
Alemannia Aachen:Petros Bagalianis 1737 +19 - 56'Benno Dietze 1642 −3
Hansa Rostock:Benno Dietze 1642 −3 - Louis Köster 1499 +9360'
Alemannia Aachen:Louis Köster 1499 +93 - 65'Andreas Voglsammer 1544 −6 for Benno Dietze 1642 −3
Hansa Rostock:Andreas Voglsammer 1544 −6 for Benno Dietze 1642 −3 - 65'Yannick Michaelis 1407 −8* for David Kopacz 1696 −8
Hansa Rostock:Yannick Michaelis 1407 −8* for David Kopacz 1696 −8 - 65'Jonas Dirkner 1671 −10* for Ouassim Karada 1136 0
Hansa Rostock:Jonas Dirkner 1671 −10* for Ouassim Karada 1136 0 - Daniel Starodid 1450 +11 for Louis Köster 1499 +9368'
Alemannia Aachen:Daniel Starodid 1450 +11 for Louis Köster 1499 +93 - Fabio Torsiello 1399 +10 for Lukas Scepanik 1626 +6372'
Alemannia Aachen:Fabio Torsiello 1399 +10 for Lukas Scepanik 1626 +63 - Kacper Koscierski 1535 +19 for Matti Wagner 1674 +1972'
Alemannia Aachen:Kacper Koscierski 1535 +19 for Matti Wagner 1674 +19 - Georg Ermolaev 1497 +4074'
Alemannia Aachen:Georg Ermolaev 1497 +40 - 84'Milosz Brzozowski 1273 −8* for Niklas Kolle 1607 −1
Hansa Rostock:Milosz Brzozowski 1273 −8* for Niklas Kolle 1607 −1 - Danilo Wiebe 1679 +1985'
Alemannia Aachen:Danilo Wiebe 1679 +19 - meiko waschenbach 1524 +1 for Mehdi Loune 1736 +1987'
Alemannia Aachen:meiko waschenbach 1524 +1 for Mehdi Loune 1736 +19 - Ken Eghosa Gideon Izekor 1801 0 for Georg Ermolaev 1497 +4087'
Alemannia Aachen:Ken Eghosa Gideon Izekor 1801 0 for Georg Ermolaev 1497 +40
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 45% · 27% · 28%(Alemannia Aachen · draw · Hansa Rostock)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Alemannia Aachen €359K, Hansa Rostock €400K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Alemannia Aachen
12th in 3. Liga · 11 pts from 9
- 14 OctLSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1654
- 11 OctLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1631
- 19 SepWFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1635
- 15 SepLWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1632
- 12 SepDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1658
Hansa Rostock
4th in 3. Liga · 15 pts from 9
- 13 OctLSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1619
- 10 OctWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1601
- 20 SepDRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1643
- 16 SepWStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1621
- 11 SepLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1625
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 11 /9 | 55.5 | 1% | 14% | 1% | 8th |
| Hansa Rostock | 15 /9 | 59.0 | 3% | 28% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Alemannia Aachen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1626

Hansa Rostock · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1654
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Alemannia Aachen: direct (how Mersad Selimbegović plays) · Hansa Rostock: balanced profile (how André Breitenreiter plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.