Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 12
Aldosivi 1–3 Sarmiento Junin
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Estadio Jose Maria Minella, Mar del Plata
AldosiviTeam 1503Sarmiento JuninTeam 1592We gave Aldosivi 35% to win: Sarmiento Junin won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 35% · 31% · 34%(Aldosivi · draw · Sarmiento Junin)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Aldosivi €352K, Sarmiento Junin €480K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Aldosivi
14th in Liga Profesional · 8 pts from 16
- 4 OctLHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional1537
- 21 SepWAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional1546
- 12 SepLIndepend. Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional1513
- 5 SepWBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1492
- 30 AugLArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1509
Sarmiento Junin
11th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 19 SepLRacing Club Argentina Liga Profesional1676
- 13 SepDBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1679
- 4 SepWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1666
- 28 AugLUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1694
- 23 AugWEstudiantes L.P. Argentina Liga Profesional1666
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 8 /16 | 12.9 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 29th |
| Sarmiento Junin | 19 /16 | 25.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Aldosivi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 1252
Sarmiento Junin · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1666
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Aldosivi: balanced profile (how Javier Esteban Sanguinetti plays) · Sarmiento Junin: direct (how Facundo Sava plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.