Segunda División · Regular Season - 14
Albacete vs Celta de Vigo II
Mon 16 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
Albacete host Celta de Vigo II on Mon 16 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Albacete 49%, draw 27%, Celta de Vigo II 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Albacete €700K, Celta de Vigo II €318K.
- All 11 of Albacete's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Albacete goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Albacete 1708 · Celta de Vigo II 1652
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Albacete · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1937
Celta de Vigo II · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1785
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Albacete
21st in Segunda División · 7 pts from 12
- 31 OctWSabadell Spain Segunda Division1715
- 25 OctWEldense Spain Segunda Division1675
- 17 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1620
- 12 OctLValladolid Spain Segunda Division1676
- 3 OctLEibar Spain Segunda Division1701
Celta de Vigo II
15th in Segunda División · 13 pts from 12
- 31 OctDCordoba Spain Segunda Division1600
- 24 OctLGirona Spain Segunda Division1631
- 19 OctDTenerife Spain Segunda Division1625
- 10 OctWReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1571
- 4 OctLSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1565
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 7 /12 | 44.0 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 21st |
| Celta de Vigo II | 13 /12 | 45.9 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –