Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
Alanyaspor host Kocaelispor on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Alanyaspor 42%, draw 29%, Kocaelispor 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Alanyaspor €1.1M, Kocaelispor €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Alanyaspor the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Alanyaspor goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Alanyaspor 1826 · Kocaelispor 1840
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Alanyaspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1871
Kocaelispor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2106
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Alanyaspor
9th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 8
- 17 OctLFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1837
- 10 OctDErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1860
- 19 SepWÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1845
- 12 SepDGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1815
- 7 SepWRizespor Turkey Super Lig1849
Kocaelispor
8th in Süper Lig · 12 pts from 8
- 18 OctLGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1831
- 11 OctLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1797
- 19 SepWGaziantep FK Turkey Super Lig1806
- 13 SepLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1848
- 6 SepWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1829
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 12 /8 | 42.0 | 0% | <1% | 10% | 9th |
| Kocaelispor | 12 /8 | 42.9 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Alanyaspor: possession-based (how Joao Pereira plays) · Kocaelispor: balanced profile (how Selçuk İnan plays)