Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 15:10 UTC · Al-Taawoun Stadium, Buraidah
Al Taawon host Al-Qadisiyah FC on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Taawon 11%, draw 18%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 71%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Taawon €1.0M, Al-Qadisiyah FC €8.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 10: 463 points.
- Saudi Pro League: T. Reijnders is the highest-rated midfielder (2533).
- Al-Qadisiyah FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Taawon goals first.
- 0–211%
- 1–29%
- 0–39%
- 1–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–38%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Al Taawon 1773 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 2236
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Taawon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.3 (Elite) · Elo 1880
Al-Qadisiyah FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2418
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Taawon
17th in Saudi Pro League · 4 pts from 9
- 17 OctDAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1691
- 14 OctWAl-Rayyan SC AFC Cup1604
- 11 OctLAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1767
- 12 SepLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1738
- 8 SepLAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1827
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1st in Saudi Pro League · 22 pts from 9
- 16 OctWAbha Saudi Pro League2301
- 12 OctDPakhtakor AFC Champions League2302
- 9 OctWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League2350
- 11 SepDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League2358
- 8 SepWAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League2334
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawon | 4 /9 | 31.3 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 14th |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 22 /9 | 76.0 | 29% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Taawon: balanced profile (how Vuk Rašović plays) · Al-Qadisiyah FC: possession-based (how Brendan Rodgers plays)