Pro League · Regular Season - 14
Al Taawon vs Abha
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Al Taawon Arena, Buraidah
Al Taawon host Abha on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Taawon 43%, draw 28%, Abha 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Taawon €925K, Abha €662K.
- Abha's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.9 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Taawon goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al Taawon 1756 · Abha 1694
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Taawon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.0 (Good) · Elo 1864
Abha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1753
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Taawon
17th in Saudi Pro League · 5 pts from 12
- 4 NovWAl Faisaly AFC Cup1713
- 31 OctDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1706
- 28 OctWAl Faisaly AFC Cup1617
- 24 OctLAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1730
- 20 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1704
Abha
18th in Saudi Pro League · 3 pts from 11
- 30 OctDAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1585
- 27 OctLAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1613
- 24 OctLNEOM Saudi Pro League1654
- 16 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1659
- 13 SepDAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1679
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Taawon | 5 /12 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 17th |
| Abha | 3 /11 | 23.1 | 0% | 0% | 78% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Taawon: balanced profile (how Jehad Al Hussain plays) · Abha: direct · low-volume (how Damir Burić plays)