Stars League · Regular Season - 7
Al Shamal vs Qatar SC
Thu 22 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Al-Shamal SC Stadium, Gray Shamal
Al Shamal host Qatar SC on Thu 22 Oct 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Shamal 57%, draw 24%, Qatar SC 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Shamal €1.0M, Qatar SC €422K.
- All 11 of Al Shamal's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Shamal goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Al Shamal 1758 · Qatar SC 1569
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Shamal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1896
Qatar SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1563
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Shamal
5th in Stars League · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctDLusail City Qatar Stars League1776
- 12 OctDTractor Sazi AFC Champions League1763
- 8 OctLAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1806
- 10 SepDAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1697
- 4 SepWAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1781
Qatar SC
11th in Stars League · 3 pts from 6
- 17 OctDAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1588
- 9 OctLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1612
- 12 SepDAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1607
- 3 SepLAl Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League1637
- 27 AprLAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1670
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shamal | 9 /6 | 16.2 | 1% | 25% | 3% | 5th |
| Qatar SC | 3 /6 | 8.1 | 0% | <1% | 82% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Shamal: balanced profile (how David Prats Racero plays) · Qatar SC: direct (how Bartolomé Márquez López plays)