Stars League · Regular Season - 8
Al Shahaniya vs Al Ahli Doha
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Al Shahaniya host Al Ahli Doha on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Shahaniya 38%, draw 29%, Al Ahli Doha 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Shahaniya €479K, Al Ahli Doha €723K.
- Home advantage makes Al Shahaniya the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Shahaniya goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al Shahaniya 1621 · Al Ahli Doha 1661
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Shahaniya · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1635
Al Ahli Doha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.2 (Good) · Elo 1784
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Shahaniya
8th in Stars League · 7 pts from 7
- 22 OctLAl Sadd Qatar Stars League1606
- 16 OctLAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1620
- 10 OctWLusail City Qatar Stars League1604
- 12 SepDAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1607
- 4 SepLAl Shamal Qatar Stars League1597
Al Ahli Doha
7th in Stars League · 8 pts from 7
- 22 OctDAl-Gharafa Qatar Stars League1706
- 16 OctLAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1693
- 10 OctWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1650
- 11 SepLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1652
- 3 SepWQatar SC Qatar Stars League1631
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shahaniya | 7 /7 | 11.4 | 0% | 1% | 45% | 10th |
| Al Ahli Doha | 8 /7 | 12.9 | 0% | 5% | 17% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Shahaniya: dribble-heavy (how Younes Ali plays) · Al Ahli Doha: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Borja Jiménez plays)