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Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawon

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · SHG Arena, Riyadh

Al Shabab crestAl ShababTeam 1805
3–0
Full time
HT 2–0
Al Taawon crestAl TaawonTeam 1722

Match story

Al Shabab · draw · Al Taawon

Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%

Live chances: Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0% at 90+8'1' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 45%, draw 28%, Al Taawon 27%3' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 45%, draw 28%, Al Taawon 27%4' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 45%, draw 28%, Al Taawon 27%6' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 45%, draw 28%, Al Taawon 27%7' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 44%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 27%8' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 44%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 27%9' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 44%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 27%10' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 44%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 27%11' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 44%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 27%12' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 44%, draw 29%, Al Taawon 27%14' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 43%, draw 30%, Al Taawon 27%15' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 43%, draw 30%, Al Taawon 27%16' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 43%, draw 30%, Al Taawon 27%17' · 0–0 · Al Shabab 43%, draw 30%, Al Taawon 27%18' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 72%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%19' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 72%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%20' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 72%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%21' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 72%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%22' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 72%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%23' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 72%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%24' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 72%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%25' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%26' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 9%27' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 8%28' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 8%29' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 8%30' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 8%31' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 8%32' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 8%33' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 73%, draw 19%, Al Taawon 8%34' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 57%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 17%35' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 57%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 17%36' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 57%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 16%37' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 57%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 16%38' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 57%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 16%39' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 58%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 16%40' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 58%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 15%41' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 58%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 15%43' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 59%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 15%44' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 59%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 14%45' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 59%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 14%45+1' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 59%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 14%45+2' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 60%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 14%45+3' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 60%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 13%45+4' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 60%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 13%45+5' · 1–0 · Al Shabab 60%, draw 27%, Al Taawon 13%45+6' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 88%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 3%45+7' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 88%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 3%45+8' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 88%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 3%HT · 2–0 · Al Shabab 88%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 3%46' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 88%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 3%47' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 88%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 3%48' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 89%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 3%49' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 89%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 2%50' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 89%, draw 9%, Al Taawon 2%51' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 89%, draw 8%, Al Taawon 2%52' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 90%, draw 8%, Al Taawon 2%53' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 90%, draw 8%, Al Taawon 2%54' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 90%, draw 8%, Al Taawon 2%55' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 91%, draw 8%, Al Taawon 2%56' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 91%, draw 7%, Al Taawon 2%57' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 91%, draw 7%, Al Taawon 2%58' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 92%, draw 7%, Al Taawon 1%59' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 92%, draw 7%, Al Taawon 1%60' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 92%, draw 6%, Al Taawon 1%61' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 92%, draw 6%, Al Taawon 1%62' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 93%, draw 6%, Al Taawon 1%63' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 93%, draw 6%, Al Taawon 1%64' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 93%, draw 6%, Al Taawon 1%65' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 94%, draw 5%, Al Taawon 1%66' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 94%, draw 5%, Al Taawon 1%67' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 94%, draw 5%, Al Taawon 1%68' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 94%, draw 5%, Al Taawon 1%69' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 95%, draw 5%, Al Taawon 1%70' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 95%, draw 4%, Al Taawon 1%71' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 95%, draw 4%, Al Taawon 1%72' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 95%, draw 4%, Al Taawon 1%73' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 96%, draw 4%, Al Taawon 0%74' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 96%, draw 4%, Al Taawon 0%75' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 96%, draw 3%, Al Taawon 0%76' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 97%, draw 3%, Al Taawon 0%77' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 97%, draw 3%, Al Taawon 0%78' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 97%, draw 3%, Al Taawon 0%79' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 97%, draw 2%, Al Taawon 0%80' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 98%, draw 2%, Al Taawon 0%81' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 98%, draw 2%, Al Taawon 0%82' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 98%, draw 2%, Al Taawon 0%83' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 98%, draw 2%, Al Taawon 0%84' · 2–0 · Al Shabab 98%, draw 2%, Al Taawon 0%85' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%86' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%87' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%88' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%89' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+1' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+2' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+3' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+4' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+5' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+6' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+7' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%90+8' · 3–0 · Al Shabab 100%, draw 0%, Al Taawon 0%

Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Al Shabab 45% to win: they did.

  1. 18'Al Shabab:Abdullah Matuq 1678 +55*
  2. 33'Al Shabab:Ali Al-Bulaihi 1847 −10*
  3. 37'Al Shabab:Mamadou Thierno Barry 1465 +70* for Roger Martínez 1887 −4*
  4. 43'Al Shabab:Abdullah Matuq 1678 +55*
  5. 45+1'Al Taawon:Faris Al-Ghamdi 1598 −8*
  6. 45+6'Al Shabab:Ricardo Mathias 1756 +69*
  7. 49'Al Taawon:Marin Plamenov·Petkov 1697 0
  8. 57'Al Taawon:Rakan Al Tulayhi 1434 −8* for Nedim Bajrami 1857 −17*
  9. 57'Al Taawon:Younes El Bahraoui 1190 −8* for Parfait Guiagon 1792 −12*
  10. 63'Al Shabab:Abdullah Ahmed Musa Al Hawsawi 1689 +14* for Abdullah Matuq 1678 +55*
  11. 64'Al Shabab:Dhari Sayyar Al Anazi 1796 +10* for Sultan Al-Anzi 1686 +55*
  12. 67'Al Taawon:Ashraf El Mahdioui 1821 −45*
  13. 68'Al Taawon:Mohammed Al Saedi 1428 −8* for Ibrahim Mohannashi 1659 −8*
  14. 68'Al Taawon:Abdulrahman Hendi 1247 −8* for Faris Al-Ghamdi 1598 −8*
  15. 70'Al Taawon:Abderrazak Hamdallah 1797 −24*
  16. 70'Al Shabab:Yacine Adli 1975 +29*
  17. 78'Al Taawon:Zinéddine Belaïd 1482 −8*
  18. 80'Al Taawon:Mohammed Al-Aqel 1437 −8* for Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi 1837 −22*
  19. 85'Al Shabab:Yannick Carrasco 1922 +35* assist Ricardo Mathias 1756 +69*
  20. 88'Al Shabab:Awad Haidar Amer Al Nashri 1720 −6* for Ricardo Mathias 1756 +69*
  21. 88'Al Shabab:Ali Al-Asmari 1727 −9* for Yacine Adli 1975 +29*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-3-3
GMailson1879−25*
DIbrahim Mahnashi1659−8*
DZ. Belaïd1482−8*
DMuteb Al Mufarrij1859−24*
DM. Petkov16970
MA. El Mahdioui1821−45*
MN. Bajrami1857−17*
MFaris Al Ghamdi1598−8*
FMohammed Al Kuwaykibi1837−22*
FA. Hamed Allah1797−24*
FP. Guiagon1792−12*
CŽarko Lazetić1811
Before kick-off: 45% · 28% · 27%(Al Shabab · draw · Al Taawon)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 3–0 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Al Shabab €1.4M, Al Taawon €1.0M.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Al Shabab

14th in Saudi Pro League · 4 pts from 7

  • 12 SepDAl-Fayha 1846
  • 9 SepLAl Kholood 1880
  • 4 SepLAl-Hilal Saudi FC 1884
  • 30 AugDAl-Hazm 1890
  • 25 AugDAl Riyadh 1900

Al Taawon

16th in Saudi Pro League · 3 pts from 7

  • 12 SepLAl-Hilal Saudi FC 1738
  • 8 SepLAl-Hazm 1827
  • 5 SepDAl-Fateh 1773
  • 28 AugLAl-Nassr 1759
  • 25 AugDAl-Fayha 1816

Season outlook

From the Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Al Shabab4 /738.90%0%5%9th
Al Taawon3 /731.30%0%33%16th
Al Shabab
Al Taawon

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Adli
Y. Adli

Al Shabab · +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1945

A. El Mahdioui
A. El Mahdioui

Al Taawon · +5.0 (Elite) · Elo 1866

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Thomas Letsch

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Žarko Lazetić

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Al Shabab: balanced profile (how Thomas Letsch plays) · Al Taawon: balanced profile (how Žarko Lazetić plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.