Pro League · Regular Season - 14
Al Shabab vs Al-Ettifaq
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Al Shabab host Al-Ettifaq on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Shabab 43%, draw 28%, Al-Ettifaq 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Shabab €2.1M, Al-Ettifaq €1.4M.
- Al Shabab are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Shabab goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al Shabab 1954 · Al-Ettifaq 1891
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Shabab · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2067
Al-Ettifaq · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1911
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Shabab
10th in Saudi Pro League · 14 pts from 11
- 30 OctWAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1922
- 22 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1875
- 19 OctDAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1848
- 11 OctWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1836
- 12 SepDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1845
Al-Ettifaq
7th in Saudi Pro League · 19 pts from 12
- 31 OctDAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1939
- 24 OctWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1854
- 20 OctLAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League1838
- 17 OctWNEOM Saudi Pro League1901
- 10 OctDAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1909
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 14 /11 | 44.6 | 0% | 0% | <1% | 9th |
| Al-Ettifaq | 19 /12 | 47.2 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Shabab: balanced profile (how Thomas Letsch plays) · Al-Ettifaq: balanced profile (how A. Papastamatis plays)