Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Al Shabab host Al-Ahli Jeddah on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Shabab 17%, draw 24%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Shabab €1.8M, Al-Ahli Jeddah €8.4M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Shabab goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Al Shabab 1883 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 2186
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Shabab · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1975
Al-Ahli Jeddah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 2237
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Shabab
13th in Saudi Pro League · 7 pts from 8
- 11 OctWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1839
- 12 SepDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1846
- 9 SepLAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1880
- 4 SepLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1884
- 30 AugDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1890
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th in Saudi Pro League · 15 pts from 8
- 12 OctWAl-Wasl FC AFC Champions League2130
- 9 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2150
- 19 SepLMamelodi Sundowns FIFA Intercontinental Cup2191
- 11 SepWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2157
- 8 SepLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League2193
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 7 /8 | 40.2 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 9th |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 15 /8 | 67.2 | 2% | 76% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Shabab: balanced profile (how Thomas Letsch plays) · Al-Ahli Jeddah: shot-heavy (how Marino Pusic plays)