Stars League · Regular Season - 8
Al Sadd vs Al Shamal
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al Sadd host Al Shamal on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Stars League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Sadd 56%, draw 25%, Al Shamal 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Sadd €2.5M, Al Shamal €1.0M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Stars League matchday 8: 181 points.
- Stars League: Meshaal Barsham is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2018).
- Style contrast in discipline (Stars League): Al Sadd rank #2 of 11, Al Shamal #11.
- All 11 of Al Shamal's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Sadd goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Al Sadd 1926 · Al Shamal 1745
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Sadd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 2018
Al Shamal · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1896
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Sadd
1st in Stars League · 15 pts from 7
- 22 OctWAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1954
- 18 OctLAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1958
- 13 OctLAl-Hilal Saudi FC AFC Champions League1929
- 9 OctLAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1978
- 10 SepWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1899
Al Shamal
5th in Stars League · 9 pts from 6
- 17 OctDLusail City Qatar Stars League1776
- 12 OctDTractor Sazi AFC Champions League1763
- 8 OctLAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1806
- 10 SepDAl Wakrah Qatar Stars League1697
- 4 SepWAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1781
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | 15 /7 | 22.0 | 35% | 96% | 0% | 1st |
| Al Shamal | 9 /6 | 16.1 | 1% | 23% | 2% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Sadd: possession-based (how Răzvan Lucescu plays) · Al Shamal: balanced profile (how David Prats plays)