Stars League · Regular Season - 6
Al Sadd 2–3 Al-Duhail SC
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al SaddTeam 1928Al-Duhail SCTeam 1866We gave Al Sadd 46% to win: Al-Duhail SC won.
- 9'Jean-Charles Castelletto – assist Bassam Al-Rawi –Al-Duhail SC:Jean-Charles Castelletto – assist Bassam Al-Rawi –
- 28'Sultan Al-Brake – assist Krzysztof Piątek –Al-Duhail SC:Sultan Al-Brake – assist Krzysztof Piątek –
- Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva – assist Roberto Firmino –32'Al Sadd:Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva – assist Roberto Firmino –
- Yusuf Abdurisag – assist Roberto Firmino –45+4'Al Sadd:Yusuf Abdurisag – assist Roberto Firmino –
- Roberto Firmino –46'Al Sadd:Roberto Firmino –
- 51'Tahsin Jamshid – for Almoez Ali –Al-Duhail SC:Tahsin Jamshid – for Almoez Ali –
- Pedro Miguel –54'Al Sadd:Pedro Miguel –
- 60'Mubarak Shanan Hamza – for Assim Madibo –Al-Duhail SC:Mubarak Shanan Hamza – for Assim Madibo –
- Hashim Ali – for Yusuf Abdurisag –63'Al Sadd:Hashim Ali – for Yusuf Abdurisag –
- Agustin soria – for Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva –63'Al Sadd:Agustin soria – for Giovani Henrique Amorim da Silva –
- Mohamed Manai – for Mohamed Camara –63'Al Sadd:Mohamed Manai – for Mohamed Camara –
- 73'Bassam Al-Rawi –Al-Duhail SC:Bassam Al-Rawi –
- Younes El Hannach – for Pedro Miguel –80'Al Sadd:Younes El Hannach – for Pedro Miguel –
- 82'Amidou Doumbouya – for Marco Verratti –Al-Duhail SC:Amidou Doumbouya – for Marco Verratti –
- 87'Krzysztof Piątek –Al-Duhail SC:Krzysztof Piątek –
- Boualem Khoukhi –87'Al Sadd:Boualem Khoukhi –
- Tarek Salman – for Alessio Romagnoli –89'Al Sadd:Tarek Salman – for Alessio Romagnoli –
- 90+4'Tahsin Jamshid –Al-Duhail SC:Tahsin Jamshid –
Before kick-off (provisional): 46% · 28% · 26%(Al Sadd · draw · Al-Duhail SC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Sadd €2.1M, Al-Duhail SC €2.2M.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Stars League): Al Sadd ranked #4 of 11, Al-Duhail SC #11.
- Al-Duhail SC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Sadd
2nd in Stars League · 12 pts from 5
- 13 OctLAl-Hilal Saudi FC AFC Champions League1929
- 9 OctLAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1978
- 10 SepWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1899
- 5 SepWAl-Gharafa Qatar Stars League1872
- 27 AprWAl Shamal Qatar Stars League1931
Al-Duhail SC
4th in Stars League · 9 pts from 5
- 8 OctWAl Shamal Qatar Stars League1869
- 12 SepDAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1847
- 5 SepDAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1901
- 29 AugDAl-Arabi SC Qatar Stars League1889
- 27 AprWQatar SC Qatar Stars League1925
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | 12 /5 | 22.6 | 41% | 95% | 0% | 1st |
| Al-Duhail SC | 9 /5 | 19.3 | 8% | 74% | <1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Sadd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 2004
Al-Duhail SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.2 (Average) · Elo 1985
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Sadd: possession-based (how Răzvan Lucescu plays) · Al-Duhail SC: possession-based · low-block (how Djamel Belmadi plays)