Stars League · Regular Season - 5
Al Sadd 2–3 Al-Arabi SC
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al SaddTeam 1934Al-Arabi SCTeam 1654We gave Al Sadd 65% to win: Al-Arabi SC won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%(Al Sadd · draw · Al-Arabi SC)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (10%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Al Sadd €2.9M, Al-Arabi SC €946K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Stars League): Al Sadd ranked #2 of 11, Al-Arabi SC #10.
- Al Sadd were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Sadd
1st in Stars League · 12 pts from 4
- 10 SepWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1899
- 5 SepWAl-Gharafa Qatar Stars League1872
- 27 AprWAl Shamal Qatar Stars League1931
- 16 AprDVissel Kobe AFC Champions League1960
- 13 AprDAl-Hilal Saudi FC AFC Champions League1958
Al-Arabi SC
5th in Stars League · 6 pts from 4
- 12 SepDQatar SC Qatar Stars League1704
- 3 SepWAl-Sailiya Qatar Stars League1675
- 29 AugDAl-Duhail SC Qatar Stars League1645
- 27 AprLAl-Rayyan SC Qatar Stars League1782
- 3 AprWAl Shahaniya Qatar Stars League1758
Season outlook
From the Stars League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Sadd | 12 /4 | 24.3 | 68% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
| Al-Arabi SC | 6 /4 | 14.2 | 1% | 21% | 12% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Sadd · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Elite) · Elo 2018
Al-Arabi SC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1482
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Sadd: possession-based (how Răzvan Lucescu plays) · Al-Arabi SC: possession-based (how Cosmin Marius Contra plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.