Pro League · Regular Season - 12
Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Thu 29 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
Al Riyadh host Al-Qadisiyah FC on Thu 29 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Riyadh 7%, draw 14%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 78%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Riyadh €370K, Al-Qadisiyah FC €8.1M.
- Draw chance 14%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: T. Reijnders is the highest-rated midfielder (2533).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Saudi Pro League): Al Riyadh rank #18 of 19, Al-Qadisiyah FC #3.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Riyadh goals first.
- 0–210%
- 0–310%
- 1–29%
- 1–38%
- 0–47%
- 0–16%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Al Riyadh 1664 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 2236
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Riyadh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1826
Al-Qadisiyah FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2418
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Riyadh
12th in Saudi Pro League · 9 pts from 8
- 11 OctDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1640
- 13 SepWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1595
- 7 SepDAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1599
- 4 SepLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1598
- 28 AugWNEOM Saudi Pro League1637
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1st in Saudi Pro League · 22 pts from 9
- 16 OctWAbha Saudi Pro League2301
- 12 OctDPakhtakor AFC Champions League2302
- 9 OctWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League2350
- 11 SepDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League2358
- 8 SepWAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League2334
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 9 /8 | 31.2 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 14th |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 22 /9 | 76.0 | 29% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Riyadh: direct (how Mauricio Dulac plays) · Al-Qadisiyah FC: possession-based (how Brendan Rodgers plays)