Pro League · Regular Season - 9
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Pro League) has been postponed.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Riyadh €371K, Al-Hilal Saudi FC €10.3M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 9: 663 points.
- Draw chance 11%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2421).
- Style contrast in chance creation (Saudi Pro League): Al Riyadh rank #18 of 19, Al-Hilal Saudi FC #2.
Before kick-off (provisional): 5% · 11% · 83%(Al Riyadh · draw · Al-Hilal Saudi FC)
Team Elo: Al Riyadh 1664 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2327
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Riyadh
12th in Saudi Pro League · 9 pts from 8
- 11 OctDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1640
- 13 SepWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1595
- 7 SepDAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1599
- 4 SepLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1598
- 28 AugWNEOM Saudi Pro League1637
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1st in Saudi Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 13 OctWAl Sadd AFC Champions League2326
- 10 OctWAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League2333
- 15 SepWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2253
- 12 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2357
- 7 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League2346
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 9 /8 | 31.5 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 14th |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 21 /8 | 81.7 | 73% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Riyadh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1826
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.2 (Elite) · Elo 2395
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Riyadh: direct (how Mauricio Dulac plays) · Al-Hilal Saudi FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Simone Inzaghi plays)