Pro League · Regular Season - 14
Al Riyadh vs Al-Hazm
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
Al Riyadh host Al-Hazm on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Riyadh 37%, draw 29%, Al-Hazm 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Riyadh €509K, Al-Hazm €673K.
- Home advantage makes Al Riyadh the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance; Saudi Pro League has one of the three smallest home advantages of our 20 competitions.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Saudi Pro League): Al Riyadh rank #17 of 19, Al-Hazm #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Riyadh goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al Riyadh 1690 · Al-Hazm 1695
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Riyadh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1692
Al-Hazm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.4 (Good) · Elo 1553
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Riyadh
12th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 11
- 29 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1694
- 24 OctWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1662
- 20 OctLAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1682
- 11 OctDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1641
- 13 SepWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League1592
Al-Hazm
14th in Saudi Pro League · 10 pts from 12
- 29 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1738
- 22 OctDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1730
- 19 OctLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1684
- 15 OctLAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1713
- 10 OctDNEOM Saudi Pro League1665
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadh | 12 /11 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 12th |
| Al-Hazm | 10 /12 | 29.0 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Riyadh: direct (how Mauricio Dulac plays) · Al-Hazm: balanced profile (how Jalel Kadri plays)