Pro League · Regular Season - 11
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Qadisiyah FC 30%, draw 29%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Qadisiyah FC €8.1M, Al-Hilal Saudi FC €10.4M.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: T. Reijnders is the highest-rated midfielder (2533).
- Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2421).
- Al-Qadisiyah FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Qadisiyah FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 0–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Al-Qadisiyah FC 2236 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2328
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Qadisiyah FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2418
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.1 (Elite) · Elo 2496
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1st in Saudi Pro League · 22 pts from 9
- 16 OctWAbha Saudi Pro League2301
- 12 OctDPakhtakor AFC Champions League2302
- 9 OctWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League2350
- 11 SepDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League2358
- 8 SepWAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League2334
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2nd in Saudi Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 13 OctWAl Sadd AFC Champions League2326
- 10 OctWAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League2333
- 15 SepWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2253
- 12 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2357
- 7 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League2346
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 22 /9 | 76.0 | 29% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 21 /8 | 79.3 | 63% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Qadisiyah FC: possession-based (how Brendan Rodgers plays) · Al-Hilal Saudi FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Simone Inzaghi plays)