Pro League · Regular Season - 13
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha
Thu 5 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al-Fayha on Thu 5 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Qadisiyah FC 81%, draw 13%, Al-Fayha 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Qadisiyah FC €8.5M, Al-Fayha €887K.
- Draw chance 13%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: T. Reijnders is the highest-rated midfielder (2537).
- Style contrast in attacking (Saudi Pro League): Al-Qadisiyah FC rank #4 of 19, Al-Fayha #18.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Qadisiyah FC goals first.
- 3–010%
- 2–010%
- 3–18%
- 2–18%
- 4–08%
- 4–16%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Al-Qadisiyah FC 2223 · Al-Fayha 1735
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Qadisiyah FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2425
Al-Fayha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1860
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1st in Saudi Pro League · 25 pts from 10
- 20 OctWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2233
- 16 OctWAbha Saudi Pro League2301
- 12 OctDPakhtakor AFC Champions League2302
- 9 OctWAl Kholood Saudi Pro League2350
- 11 SepDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League2358
Al-Fayha
14th in Saudi Pro League · 8 pts from 11
- 22 OctDAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1739
- 19 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1734
- 15 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1760
- 11 OctDAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1803
- 12 SepDAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1837
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 25 /10 | 76.0 | 26% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
| Al-Fayha | 8 /11 | 30.2 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Qadisiyah FC: possession-based (how Brendan Rodgers plays) · Al-Fayha: balanced profile (how Fábio Carille plays)