Pro League · Regular Season - 15
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fateh
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, Dammam
Al-Qadisiyah FC host Al-Fateh on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Qadisiyah FC 82%, draw 12%, Al-Fateh 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Qadisiyah FC €9.2M, Al-Fateh €1.3M.
- Draw chance 12%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 24% this round.
- Al-Qadisiyah FC's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Qadisiyah FC goals first.
- 3–011%
- 2–011%
- 4–08%
- 3–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–07%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Al-Qadisiyah FC 2244 · Al-Fateh 1739
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Qadisiyah FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2391
Al-Fateh · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1792
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2nd in Saudi Pro League · 28 pts from 12
- 2 NovWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2205
- 29 OctWAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League2238
- 26 OctDAl Sadd AFC Champions League2117
- 23 OctLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League2354
- 20 OctWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2227
Al-Fateh
16th in Saudi Pro League · 6 pts from 12
- 31 OctLAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Pro League1808
- 22 OctLAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1789
- 18 OctLAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League1754
- 15 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League1761
- 9 OctLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1778
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 28 /12 | 73.3 | 10% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
| Al-Fateh | 6 /12 | 27.6 | 0% | 0% | 45% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Qadisiyah FC: possession-based (how Brendan Rodgers plays) · Al-Fateh: balanced profile (how Jamal Sellami plays)