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Pro League · Regular Season - 9

Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1 Abha

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC · Prince Mohammed Bin Fahd Stadium, Daman

Al-Qadisiyah FC crestAl-Qadisiyah FCTeam 2252
2–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Abha crestAbhaTeam 1605

Match story

Al-Qadisiyah FC · draw · Abha

Before kick-off: 89% · 8% · 3%

Live chances: Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 89%, draw 8%, Abha 3%2' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 89%, draw 8%, Abha 3%3' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 89%, draw 8%, Abha 3%5' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 89%, draw 8%, Abha 3%6' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 88%, draw 8%, Abha 4%7' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 88%, draw 8%, Abha 4%8' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 88%, draw 8%, Abha 4%9' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 88%, draw 9%, Abha 4%10' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 87%, draw 9%, Abha 4%11' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 87%, draw 9%, Abha 4%12' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 87%, draw 9%, Abha 4%13' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 87%, draw 9%, Abha 4%14' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 87%, draw 9%, Abha 4%15' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 86%, draw 10%, Abha 4%17' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 86%, draw 10%, Abha 4%18' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 86%, draw 10%, Abha 4%19' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 85%, draw 10%, Abha 4%20' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 85%, draw 11%, Abha 4%21' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 85%, draw 11%, Abha 4%22' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 84%, draw 11%, Abha 5%23' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 84%, draw 11%, Abha 5%24' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 84%, draw 11%, Abha 5%25' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 84%, draw 12%, Abha 5%26' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 83%, draw 12%, Abha 5%27' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 83%, draw 12%, Abha 5%28' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 83%, draw 12%, Abha 5%29' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 82%, draw 13%, Abha 5%30' · 0–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 82%, draw 13%, Abha 5%31' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%32' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%33' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%34' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%35' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%36' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%37' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%38' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%39' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%40' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%41' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 94%, draw 5%, Abha 1%42' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 5%, Abha 1%43' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 5%, Abha 1%44' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%45' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%45+1' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%45+2' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%45+3' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%45+4' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%45+5' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%45+6' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%HT · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%47' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%48' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%49' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%50' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 93%, draw 6%, Abha 1%51' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 6%, Abha 1%52' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 6%, Abha 1%53' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%54' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%55' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%56' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%57' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%58' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%59' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%60' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%61' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%62' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%63' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 92%, draw 7%, Abha 1%64' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 91%, draw 7%, Abha 1%65' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 91%, draw 8%, Abha 1%66' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 91%, draw 8%, Abha 1%67' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 91%, draw 8%, Abha 1%68' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 91%, draw 8%, Abha 1%69' · 1–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 91%, draw 8%, Abha 1%70' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%71' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%72' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%73' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%74' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%75' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%76' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%77' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%78' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%79' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%80' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%81' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%82' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%83' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%84' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%85' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%86' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%87' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%88' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%89' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%90' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%90+4' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 100%, draw 0%, Abha 0%90+6' · 2–1 · Al-Qadisiyah FC 99%, draw 1%, Abha 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Al-Qadisiyah FC 89% to win: they did.

  1. 5'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Mateo Retegui 2387 +6 (penalty missed)
  2. 7'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Julian Weigl 2254 0
  3. 28'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Yasir Al-Shahrani 1840 −1 for Ali Badra Diabaté 1782 +2
  4. 30'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Mateo Retegui 2387 +6 assist Tijjani Reijnders 2533 +3
  5. 54'Abha:Nabil Fekir 1780 −13*
  6. 59'Abha:Safwan Al Johani 1512 −8* for Khaled Al Shamrani 1465 −8*
  7. 59'Abha:Nasser Al Daajani 1480 −8* for Nabil Fekir 1780 −13*
  8. 69'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat 2418 +6 assist Mateo Retegui 2387 +6
  9. 70'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Abdullah Al-Salem 1631 −5 for Musab Al-Juwayr 2357 +2
  10. 70'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Turki Al-Ammar 2036 +1 for Christopher Bonsu Baah 2381 +2
  11. 76'Abha:Alimani Gory 1786 −10* for Georges-Kévin N'Koudou 1816 −12*
  12. 77'Abha:Amar Al-Yuhaybi 1862 −8* for Mohammed Al-Dosari 1719 −8*
  13. 82'Abha:Bader Al Mutairi 1305 −8* for Firas Al-Ghamdi 1394 −8*
  14. 84'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani 1838 0 for Mateo Retegui 2387 +6
  15. 85'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Eyad Housa 1437 −7* for Nahitan Nández 2274 0
  16. 86'Al-Qadisiyah FC:Turki Al-Ammar 2036 +1
  17. 90+5'Abha:Alimani Gory 1786 −10* assist Safwan Al Johani 1512 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations3-4-2-1
GA. Al Bouq1270−8*
DJ. Gaari1758−5
DAbdullah Al Fahad1660−11*
DAbdulbasit Al-Hindi1877−11*
MMohammed Al Dossary1719−8*
MN. Fekir1780−13*
MFiras Al-Ghamdi1394−8*
MK. Al Shamrani1465−8*
MAbdulkarim Darisi1610−8*
MG. Nkoudou1816−12*
FM. Batshuayi1774−13*
CD. Burić1452−8*
Before kick-off: 89% · 8% · 3%(Al-Qadisiyah FC · draw · Abha)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 3–0 (9%); the result 2–1 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Al-Qadisiyah FC €8.2M, Abha €767K.
  • Draw chance was 11%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
  • Saudi Pro League: T. Reijnders was the highest-rated midfielder (2530).
  • Style contrast in chance creation (Saudi Pro League): Al-Qadisiyah FC ranked #3 of 19, Abha #19.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC's expected eleven was in form: average +2.6 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Al-Qadisiyah FC

2nd in Saudi Pro League · 19 pts from 8

  • 12 OctDPakhtakor 2302
  • 9 OctWAl Kholood 2350
  • 11 SepDAl-Ettifaq 2358
  • 8 SepWAl-Ahli Jeddah 2334
  • 3 SepWAl Diriyah 2255

Abha

18th in Saudi Pro League · 2 pts from 7

  • 13 SepDAl Diriyah 1680
  • 9 SepLAl-Nassr 1686
  • 4 SepLAl-Ettifaq 1656
  • 28 AugLAl-Fayha 1679
  • 25 AugDAl Khaleej Saihat 1622

Season outlook

From the Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Al-Qadisiyah FC19 /875.921%97%0%2nd
Abha2 /726.10%0%65%18th
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Abha

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat

Al-Qadisiyah FC · +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2412

Mohammed Al Dossary
Mohammed Al Dossary

Abha · +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1727

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Brendan Rodgers

Coach DNA: possession-based

Damir Burić

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Al-Qadisiyah FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Brendan Rodgers plays) · Abha: direct · low-volume (how Damir Burić plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.