Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Al Kholood 0–5 Al-Qadisiyah FC
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 13:50 UTC · Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Al KholoodTeam 1668Al-Qadisiyah FCTeam 2271We gave Al-Qadisiyah FC 80% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 7% · 13% · 80%(Al Kholood · draw · Al-Qadisiyah FC)
Our most likely score was 0–3 (10%); the result 0–5 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Al Kholood €767K, Al-Qadisiyah FC €10.1M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 8: 496 points.
- Draw chance was 17%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: T. Reijnders was the highest-rated midfielder (2540).
- Style contrast in possession (Saudi Pro League): Al Kholood ranked #16 of 19, Al-Qadisiyah FC #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Kholood
7th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 7
- 13 SepLAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1835
- 9 SepWAl Shabab Saudi Pro League1766
- 3 SepDAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League1828
- 29 AugWAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1765
- 26 AugDAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League1755
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4th in Saudi Pro League · 16 pts from 7
- 11 SepDAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League2360
- 8 SepWAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League2335
- 3 SepWAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League2255
- 30 AugWAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League2283
- 24 AugWNEOM Saudi Pro League2309
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kholood | 12 /7 | 40.7 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 9th |
| Al-Qadisiyah FC | 16 /7 | 76.2 | 26% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Kholood · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1886
Al-Qadisiyah FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2410
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Kholood: dribble-heavy · direct (how Desmond Buckingham plays) · Al-Qadisiyah FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Brendan Rodgers plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.