Pro League · Regular Season - 15
Al Kholood vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Ar Rass
Al Kholood host Al-Hilal Saudi FC on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Kholood 6%, draw 12%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 82%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Kholood €656K, Al-Hilal Saudi FC €11.9M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 15: 634 points.
- Draw chance 12%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 24% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2425).
- Style contrast in possession (Saudi Pro League): Al Kholood rank #16 of 19, Al-Hilal Saudi FC #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Kholood goals first.
- 0–311%
- 0–210%
- 0–48%
- 1–38%
- 1–28%
- 0–16%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: Al Kholood 1709 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2343
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Kholood · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1812
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2439
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Kholood
11th in Saudi Pro League · 12 pts from 11
- 29 OctLAl-Nassr Saudi Pro League1712
- 24 OctLAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League1733
- 15 OctLAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1762
- 9 OctLAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League1684
- 13 SepLAl Riyadh Saudi Pro League1837
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1st in Saudi Pro League · 30 pts from 11
- 3 NovWShabab Al Ahli Dubai AFC Champions League2186
- 31 OctWAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League2376
- 27 OctLAl Shamal AFC Champions League2084
- 23 OctWAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Pro League2401
- 19 OctWAl-Hazm Saudi Pro League2394
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Kholood | 12 /11 | 32.7 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 12th |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 30 /11 | 81.8 | 82% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Kholood: dribble-heavy · direct (how Desmond Buckingham plays) · Al-Hilal Saudi FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Simone Inzaghi plays)