Premier League · Regular Season - 6
Al Ittihad 2–1 El Gouna FC
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
Al IttihadTeam 1337El Gouna FCTeam 1188- Hossam Hassan 10'
- Mohamed Toni 60'
- Mohamed Mido Mostafa 8' (og)
We gave Al Ittihad 51% to win: they did.
- 8'Mohamed Mido Mostafa – (own goal)El Gouna FC:Mohamed Mido Mostafa – (own goal)
- Hossam Hassan – assist Joseph Arumala10'Al Ittihad:Hossam Hassan – assist Joseph Arumala
- 41'Tolulope Samuel Ojo –El Gouna FC:Tolulope Samuel Ojo –
- 45'Omar El Gazar – for Ziad El ShayatEl Gouna FC:Omar El Gazar – for Ziad El Shayat
- Mohamed Toni –60'Al Ittihad:Mohamed Toni –
- 61'Tolulope Samuel Ojo –El Gouna FC:Tolulope Samuel Ojo –
- Mahmoud Emad – for Mohamed Toni –66'Al Ittihad:Mahmoud Emad – for Mohamed Toni –
- 66'Alaa Shaaban for Ahmed Gamal –El Gouna FC:Alaa Shaaban for Ahmed Gamal –
- 66'Marwan Mohsen – for Abdel Gawad Taalab –El Gouna FC:Marwan Mohsen – for Abdel Gawad Taalab –
- Ahmed Eid Nagy – for Joseph Arumala66'Al Ittihad:Ahmed Eid Nagy – for Joseph Arumala
- 71'marwan essam – for Alpha Turay –El Gouna FC:marwan essam – for Alpha Turay –
- John Okoye Ebuka – for Hossam Hassan –75'Al Ittihad:John Okoye Ebuka – for Hossam Hassan –
- Youssry Wahid – for Nour Alaa –80'Al Ittihad:Youssry Wahid – for Nour Alaa –
- Ahmed Hamdi – for Mohamed Fakhri –80'Al Ittihad:Ahmed Hamdi – for Mohamed Fakhri –
- 83'Mohamed Reda – for Michael Egbemba –El Gouna FC:Mohamed Reda – for Michael Egbemba –
Before kick-off (provisional): 51% · 26% · 22%(Al Ittihad · draw · El Gouna FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 10%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Ittihad €191K, El Gouna FC €122K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Ittihad
6th in Premier League · 10 pts from 5
- 15 SepWAl Masry Egyptian Premier League1296
- 7 SepWAsyut Petrol Egyptian Premier League1286
- 2 SepWAbu Qair Semad Egyptian Premier League1252
- 28 AugLCeramica Cleopatra Egyptian Premier League1266
- 21 AugDZamalek SC Egyptian Premier League1242
El Gouna FC
18th in Premier League · 2 pts from 5
- 16 SepLPetrojet Egyptian Premier League1157
- 9 SepLPyramids FC Egyptian Premier League1176
- 2 SepLEl Mokawloon Egyptian Premier League1205
- 28 AugDOlympic El Qanah Egyptian Premier League1240
- 23 AugDFuture FC Egyptian Premier League1256
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 10 /5 | 29.3 | 0% | 12% | <1% | 5th |
| El Gouna FC | 2 /5 | 16.8 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Ittihad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1542
El Gouna FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 991
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Ittihad: balanced profile (how Hamza El Gamal plays) · El Gouna FC: direct (how Ahmed Mostafa plays)