Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Al Ittihad vs El Geish
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Al Ittihad host El Geish on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al Ittihad 55%, draw 25%, El Geish 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al Ittihad €193K, El Geish €123K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al Ittihad goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Al Ittihad 1348 · El Geish 1164
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al Ittihad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1318
El Geish · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1232
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al Ittihad
5th in Premier League · 13 pts from 6
- 13 OctWEl Gouna FC Egyptian Premier League1316
- 15 SepWAl Masry Egyptian Premier League1296
- 7 SepWAsyut Petrol Egyptian Premier League1286
- 2 SepWAbu Qair Semad Egyptian Premier League1252
- 28 AugLCeramica Cleopatra Egyptian Premier League1266
El Geish
14th in Premier League · 7 pts from 6
- 13 OctLNational Bank of Egypt Egyptian Premier League1182
- 14 SepLSmouha SC Egyptian Premier League1114
- 7 SepDOlympic El Qanah Egyptian Premier League1145
- 26 AugWPetrojet Egyptian Premier League1150
- 22 AugWEl Mokawloon Egyptian Premier League1161
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | 13 /6 | 31.1 | <1% | 18% | 0% | 5th |
| El Geish | 7 /6 | 19.6 | 0% | <1% | 18% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al Ittihad: balanced profile (how Hamza El Gamal plays) · El Geish: balanced profile (how Gomaa Mashhour plays)