Pro League · Regular Season - 15
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Thu 26 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Al-Ittihad FC host Al-Ahli Jeddah on Thu 26 Nov 2026 (Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Al-Ittihad FC 31%, draw 29%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Al-Ittihad FC €5.0M, Al-Ahli Jeddah €6.9M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Saudi Pro League): Al-Ittihad FC rank #4 of 19, Al-Ahli Jeddah #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Al-Ittihad FC goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–28%
- 2–27%
- 2–17%
- 0–17%
- 1–06%
- Other scores52%
Team Elo: Al-Ittihad FC 2088 · Al-Ahli Jeddah 2168
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Al-Ittihad FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.3 (Good) · Elo 2113
Al-Ahli Jeddah · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2121
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Ittihad FC
4th in Saudi Pro League · 24 pts from 11
- 2 NovLAl Ain AFC Champions League2100
- 30 OctDAbha Saudi Pro League2151
- 26 OctWNeftchi AFC Champions League2132
- 23 OctWAl Diriyah Saudi Pro League2083
- 20 OctWAl-Ettifaq Saudi Pro League2083
Al-Ahli Jeddah
6th in Saudi Pro League · 21 pts from 11
- 2 NovDAl Sadd AFC Champions League2152
- 30 OctLAl Shabab Saudi Pro League2151
- 26 OctWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2159
- 23 OctWAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Pro League2160
- 19 OctWAl-Fayha Saudi Pro League2162
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Ittihad FC | 24 /11 | 63.9 | <1% | 49% | 0% | 5th |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | 21 /11 | 64.0 | <1% | 53% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Ittihad FC: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Jens Wissing plays) · Al-Ahli Jeddah: shot-heavy (how Marino Pusic plays)