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Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–2 Al-Ittihad FC

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Kingdom Arena, Riyadh

Al-Hilal Saudi FC crestAl-Hilal Saudi FCTeam 2332
3–2
Full time
HT 2–1
Al-Ittihad FC crestAl-Ittihad FCTeam 2039

Match story

Al-Hilal Saudi FC · draw · Al-Ittihad FC

Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%

Live chances: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 65%, draw 21%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%2' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 65%, draw 21%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%3' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 65%, draw 21%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%4' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 65%, draw 21%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%5' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 64%, draw 22%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%6' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 64%, draw 22%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%7' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 64%, draw 22%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%8' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 64%, draw 22%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%9' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 63%, draw 22%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%10' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 63%, draw 22%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%11' · 0–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 63%, draw 23%, Al-Ittihad FC 14%12' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85%, draw 11%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%13' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85%, draw 11%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%14' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85%, draw 11%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%15' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85%, draw 11%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%16' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 11%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%17' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 11%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%18' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%19' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%20' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%21' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%22' · 1–0 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%23' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 60%, draw 25%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%24' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 59%, draw 26%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%25' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 59%, draw 26%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%26' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 59%, draw 26%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%27' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 58%, draw 26%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%28' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 58%, draw 26%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%29' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 58%, draw 27%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%30' · 1–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 58%, draw 27%, Al-Ittihad FC 15%31' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%32' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%33' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%34' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 12%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%35' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%36' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%37' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%38' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%39' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%40' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%41' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%42' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%43' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%44' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 4%45' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%45+1' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%45+2' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%45+3' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 97%, draw 3%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%45+4' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 97%, draw 3%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%45+5' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%HT · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%46' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%47' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%48' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 83%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%49' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%50' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%51' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%53' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%54' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%55' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%56' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%57' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%58' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%59' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 3%60' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 2%61' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 2%62' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 84%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 2%63' · 2–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85%, draw 13%, Al-Ittihad FC 2%64' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 2%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%65' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 2%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%66' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 2%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%67' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 2%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%68' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 2%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%69' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%70' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%71' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%72' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%73' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%74' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%76' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%77' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%79' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%80' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%81' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%82' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%83' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%84' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%85' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 100%, draw 0%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%86' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 100%, draw 0%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%87' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 100%, draw 0%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%88' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 100%, draw 0%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%89' · 3–1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 100%, draw 0%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%90' · 3–2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 94%, draw 6%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 95%, draw 5%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%90+2' · 3–2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 95%, draw 4%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 96%, draw 4%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 97%, draw 3%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 98%, draw 2%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%90+6' · 3–2 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC 99%, draw 1%, Al-Ittihad FC 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC 65% to win: they did.

  1. 11'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Gabriel Martinelli 2522 +9* assist Ollie Watkins 2477 +8*
  2. 22'Al-Ittihad FC:Youssef En-Nesyri 2156 −21* assist Marwan Al-Sahafi 1796 −8*
  3. 30'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Ollie Watkins 2477 +8*
  4. 37'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Rúben Neves 2477 +5
  5. 38'Al-Ittihad FC:Dion Lopy 2071 −9*
  6. 58'Al-Ittihad FC:Georginio Wijnaldum 1872 −16* for Marwan Al-Sahafi 1796 −8*
  7. 64'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Crysencio Summerville 2395 +27 assist Ollie Watkins 2477 +8*
  8. 67'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Mohamed Kanno 2223 −8* for Saimon Bouabre 1866 +12*
  9. 67'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Moteb Al-Harbi 2330 −5* for Theo Hernandez 2456 −3*
  10. 69'Al-Ittihad FC:Muath Faquihi 1811 −8* for Faris Abdi 2025 −8*
  11. 69'Al-Ittihad FC:Ahmed Al Julaydan 1976 −8* for Muhannad Al-Shanqeeti 2144 −11*
  12. 73'Al-Ittihad FC:Steven Bergwijn 2182 −14*
  13. 81'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Sultan Mandash 2094 −9* for Ollie Watkins 2477 +8*
  14. 81'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Murad Al Hawsawi 1872 −5* for Nasser Al-Dawsari 2313 +2*
  15. 83'Al-Ittihad FC:Mukhtar Ali 1945 −9* for Ahmed Al-Ghamdi 1820 −8*
  16. 83'Al-Ittihad FC:Saleh Al-Shehri 1546 −12* for Houssem Aouar 2238 −16*
  17. 89'Al-Ittihad FC:Steven Bergwijn 2182 −14* (pen.)
  18. 90'Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Ali Lajami 2252 −10* for Hassan Al-Tambakti 2371 +2*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations4-4-2
GP. Rajković2225−15*
DMuhannad Al Shanqiti2144−11*
DJ. Šimić2096−10*
DDanilo Pereira2124−18*
DF. Abdi2025−8*
MAhmed Al Ghamdi1820−8*
MH. Aouar2238−16*
MD. Lopy2071−9*
MS. Bergwijn2182−14*
FMarwan Al Sahafi1796−8*
FY. En-Nesyri2156−21*
CJens Wissing1970−8*
Before kick-off: 65% · 21% · 14%(Al-Hilal Saudi FC · draw · Al-Ittihad FC)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Al-Hilal Saudi FC €11.5M, Al-Ittihad FC €4.5M.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 8: 250 points.
  • Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2399).
  • Al-Hilal Saudi FC's expected eleven was in form: average +1.7 over 180 days.
  • Al-Ittihad FC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

3rd in Saudi Pro League · 18 pts from 7

  • 15 SepWAl-Gharafa 2253
  • 12 SepWAl Taawon 2357
  • 7 SepLNEOM 2346
  • 4 SepWAl Shabab 2322
  • 1 SepWAl-Ahli Jeddah 2255

Al-Ittihad FC

4th in Saudi Pro League · 17 pts from 7

  • 11 SepWAl-Faisaly FC 2091
  • 8 SepWAl-Fayha 2053
  • 5 SepWAl-Nassr 1999
  • 29 AugDAl-Fateh 2031
  • 24 AugWAl-Hazm 2005

Season outlook

From the Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Al-Hilal Saudi FC18 /780.866%99%0%1st
Al-Ittihad FC17 /765.01%41%0%5th
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Ittihad FC

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rúben Neves
Rúben Neves

Al-Hilal Saudi FC · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2472

Danilo Pereira
Danilo Pereira

Al-Ittihad FC · +3.8 (Good) · Elo 2141

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Simone Inzaghi

Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative

Jens Wissing

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Al-Hilal Saudi FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Simone Inzaghi plays) · Al-Ittihad FC: possession-based · dribble-heavy (how Jens Wissing plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.