Pro League · Regular Season - 10
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–0 Al-Hazm
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Al-Hilal Saudi FCTeam 2386
Al-HazmTeam 1639Match story
Al-Hilal Saudi FC · draw · Al-HazmBefore kick-off: 92% · 6% · 2%
Last reading, 90+8': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.
We gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC 92% to win: they did.
- 23'Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741 for Aboubacar·Diakite 1071
Al-Hazm:Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741 for Aboubacar·Diakite 1071 - 42'Ahmed Al-Nakhli 1770
Al-Hazm:Ahmed Al-Nakhli 1770 - 45'Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741
Al-Hazm:Ahmed Al-Shamrani 1741 - 70'Amir Saâyoud 1580 for Afimico Pululu 1878
Al-Hazm:Amir Saâyoud 1580 for Afimico Pululu 1878 - 70'Mohammed Al Hamdani 1516 for Sofiane Bendebka 1854
Al-Hazm:Mohammed Al Hamdani 1516 for Sofiane Bendebka 1854 - Moteb Al-Harbi 2340 for Theo Hernandez 245676'
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Moteb Al-Harbi 2340 for Theo Hernandez 2456 - Sultan Mandash 2107 for Hassan Al-Tambakti 237176'
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Sultan Mandash 2107 for Hassan Al-Tambakti 2371 - 87'Mohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami 1572 for Abdulaziz Al-Harbi 1409
Al-Hazm:Mohammed Eissa Saleh Al-Jamaan Al-Yami 1572 for Abdulaziz Al-Harbi 1409 - 88'Abdullah Al Shanqiti 1551 for Abdurahman Al-Dakheel 1802
Al-Hazm:Abdullah Al Shanqiti 1551 for Abdurahman Al-Dakheel 1802 - Gabriel Martinelli 2529 assist Mohammed Mahzari 219689'
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Gabriel Martinelli 2529 assist Mohammed Mahzari 2196 - Gabriel Martinelli 252990'
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Gabriel Martinelli 2529 - Salem Al-Dawsari 2128 for Crysencio Summerville 239590+2'
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Salem Al-Dawsari 2128 for Crysencio Summerville 2395 - Nasser Al-Dawsari 2313 for Mohamed Kanno 223090+2'
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Nasser Al-Dawsari 2313 for Mohamed Kanno 2230 - Ali Lajami 2250 for Gabriel Martinelli 252990+2'
Al-Hilal Saudi FC:Ali Lajami 2250 for Gabriel Martinelli 2529
Line-ups
Before kick-off: 92% · 6% · 2%(Al-Hilal Saudi FC · draw · Al-Hazm)
Our most likely score was 3–0 (11%); the result 1–0 had 4%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Al-Hilal Saudi FC €10.8M, Al-Hazm €639K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Saudi Pro League matchday 10: 621 points.
- Draw chance was 9%, below the Saudi Pro League average of 23% this round.
- Saudi Pro League: Y. Bounou was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2421).
- Al-Hilal Saudi FC's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2nd in Saudi Pro League · 21 pts from 8
- 13 OctWAl Sadd AFC Champions League2326
- 10 OctWAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Pro League2333
- 15 SepWAl-Gharafa AFC Champions League2253
- 12 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League2357
- 7 SepLNEOM Saudi Pro League2346
Al-Hazm
11th in Saudi Pro League · 9 pts from 9
- 15 OctLAl-Fateh Saudi Pro League1710
- 10 OctDNEOM Saudi Pro League1665
- 11 SepLAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Pro League1651
- 8 SepWAl Taawon Saudi Pro League1707
- 5 SepDAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Pro League1701
Season outlook
From the Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 21 /8 | 79.3 | 63% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Al-Hazm | 9 /9 | 31.9 | 0% | 0% | 26% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +7.1 (Elite) · Elo 2496

Al-Hazm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1881
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Al-Hilal Saudi FC: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Simone Inzaghi plays) · Al-Hazm: balanced profile (how Jalel Kadri plays)